MatchWiz

Tommy Troy

Tommy Troy — hitting .197 in our graded log with 3 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
78
Hits · @ KC · 2026-09-09
Our calls on him · hits
100%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
39
this season, box-score final
Tommy Troy
LFBats RThrows RArizona Diamondbacks
Hits78/100proj 1.1Singles72.2/100proj 0.7Triples66.6/100proj 0H+R+RBI61.7/100proj 1.8Doubles57/100proj 0.2Runs55.6/100proj 0.5Total Bases50.1/100proj 1.6Fantasy Points43/100proj 6.7RBIs38.7/100proj 0.4Home Runs26.1/100proj 0.2Walks24.1/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases16.3/100proj 0.1

Not on the current slate

Tommy hasn't been scored in 28 days — his last matchup was against Kansas City Royals on Wednesday, September 9, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Tommy is 5-for-26 (.192) over his last 10 games, in line with his .197 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Tommy strikes out a lot — 33 strikeouts in 117 at-bats, roughly 28%. That cuts both ways in the WizLine. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 3 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a right-handed bat

Tommy hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Tommy has recorded at least one hit in 18 of 36 games he's batted in — 50% — with 5 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Tommy is hitting .245 at home (13-for-53) and .156 on the road (10-for-64) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Tommy a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 39 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Tommy was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 78/100 while stolen bases came in at 16.3/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Tommy gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Tommy specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 13@ —20000
Tuesday, September 8@ KC31000
Monday, September 7@ KC00000
Sunday, September 6@ HOU20000
Saturday, July 11@ LAD10000
Thursday, July 9@ SD31010
Wednesday, July 8@ SD41112
Monday, July 6@ SD41000
Sunday, July 5vs MIL41010
Saturday, July 4vs MIL30000
Friday, July 3vs MIL40000
Wednesday, July 1vs SF31010

Tommy Troy — FAQ

Is Tommy Troy playing today?

Tommy Troy isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 9, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Tommy Troy been hitting lately?

Tommy is 5-for-26 (.192) over his last 10 games, against .197 on the season across 117 at-bats in our log, with 3 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Tommy Troy appear on?

Tommy was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, singles, triples, h+r+rbi, doubles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Tommy Troy's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).