MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

MIL @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
4:00 PM EDT
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft

MIL MIL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF
Season.009112 BF
Last 2 Years.023306 BF
wOBA allowed.254
Hard-Hit %45%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 BF
Season.026302 BF
Last 2 Years.0341026 BF
wOBA allowed.300
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.02969 PA
Last 2 Years.024291 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030197 PA
Season.0331021 PA
Last 2 Years.0333283 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Yelich's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.06165 PA
Last 2 Years.041315 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs CIN1
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.026302 PA
Last 2 Years.0341026 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058138 PA
Season.032875 PA
Last 2 Years.0303189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.375
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.27

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Chourio's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.010103 PA
Last 2 Years.011363 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030197 PA
Season.0331021 PA
Last 2 Years.0333283 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-10

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.600
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.071

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brice Turang's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.020100 PA
Last 2 Years.019361 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.026302 PA
Last 2 Years.0341026 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058138 PA
Season.032875 PA
Last 2 Years.0303189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-10

Home Runs0 in 13 PA
Career Average.077
Plate Appearances13
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

William Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.019106 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs CIN1
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030197 PA
Season.0331021 PA
Last 2 Years.0333283 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jake Bauers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00069 PA
Last 2 Years.000128 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN1
Jul 3@ AZ1
Jul 4@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030197 PA
Season.0331021 PA
Last 2 Years.0333283 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.057

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Garrett Mitchell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.003301 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030197 PA
Season.0331021 PA
Last 2 Years.0333283 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %24%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.041

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Frelick's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0
Jul 4@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.026302 PA
Last 2 Years.0341026 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058138 PA
Season.032875 PA
Last 2 Years.0303189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cooper Pratt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.00040 PA
Last 2 Years.01378 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.21
WHIP1.18
IP102.0
H / K / BB82 / 71 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030197 PA
Season.0331021 PA
Last 2 Years.0333283 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %22%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.045

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

David Hamilton's full player page →

AZ AZ Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from AZ's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.031163 BF
Last 2 Years.024205 BF
wOBA allowed.336
Hard-Hit %39%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 BF
Season.059153 BF
Last 2 Years.046195 BF
wOBA allowed.352
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA
Season.038261 PA
Last 2 Years.053768 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SF1
Jun 30vs SF1
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.031163 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031130 PA
Season.021822 PA
Last 2 Years.0212099 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.248

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ketel Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.016247 PA
Last 2 Years.022957 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.031163 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031130 PA
Season.021822 PA
Last 2 Years.0212099 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Geraldo Perdomo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.041242 PA
Last 2 Years.050916 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.031163 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031130 PA
Season.021822 PA
Last 2 Years.0212099 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.229

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Corbin Carroll's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.023177 PA
Last 2 Years.026495 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.059153 PA
Last 2 Years.046195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032220 PA
Season.0231034 PA
Last 2 Years.0262815 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gabriel Moreno's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.032654 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF1
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.059153 PA
Last 2 Years.046195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032220 PA
Season.0231034 PA
Last 2 Years.0262815 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.030234 PA
Last 2 Years.029785 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SF1
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.059153 PA
Last 2 Years.046195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032220 PA
Season.0231034 PA
Last 2 Years.0262815 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nolan Arenado's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.011182 PA
Last 2 Years.012323 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ STL0
Jun 26@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.031163 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031130 PA
Season.021822 PA
Last 2 Years.0212099 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.285
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.053

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ildemaro Vargas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs MIN0
Jun 23@ STL0
Jun 24@ STL1
Jun 27@ TB0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.059153 PA
Last 2 Years.046195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032220 PA
Season.0231034 PA
Last 2 Years.0262815 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

LuJames Groover's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.02290 PA
Last 2 Years.02290 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0
Jul 4vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.059153 PA
Last 2 Years.046195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.28
WHIP1.33
IP75.0
H / K / BB66 / 80 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032220 PA
Season.0231034 PA
Last 2 Years.0262815 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.273
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.096

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tommy Troy's full player page →