MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Monday, July 6, 2026

NYM @ ATL Home Runs matchups · Monday, July 6, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
vs
7:15 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft

NYM NYM Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYM's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 BF
Season.017121 BF
Last 2 Years.021240 BF
wOBA allowed.330
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.04198 BF
Last 2 Years.029210 BF
wOBA allowed.286
Hard-Hit %24%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.030101 PA
Last 2 Years.046845 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR1
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.017121 PA
Last 2 Years.021240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031161 PA
Season.0301024 PA
Last 2 Years.0283059 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-23

Home Runs1 in 27 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances27
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.215

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Francisco Lindor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.061

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.072195 PA
Last 2 Years.067882 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL1
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.017121 PA
Last 2 Years.021240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031161 PA
Season.0301024 PA
Last 2 Years.0283059 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.403
Hard-Hit %45%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.413

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Juan Soto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.021284 PA
Last 2 Years.021798 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.04198 PA
Last 2 Years.029210 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039205 PA
Season.0241161 PA
Last 2 Years.0294130 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bo Bichette's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.032157 PA
Last 2 Years.044708 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jul 4@ ATL1
Jul 5@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.04198 PA
Last 2 Years.029210 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039205 PA
Season.0241161 PA
Last 2 Years.0294130 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mark Vientos's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.026267 PA
Last 2 Years.026267 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR1
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.017121 PA
Last 2 Years.021240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031161 PA
Season.0301024 PA
Last 2 Years.0283059 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Benge's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~1.4× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.01759 PA
Last 2 Years.010414 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL1
Jul 5@ ATL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.04198 PA
Last 2 Years.029210 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039205 PA
Season.0241161 PA
Last 2 Years.0294130 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.270
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.061

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyrone Taylor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.022138 PA
Last 2 Years.022138 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.017121 PA
Last 2 Years.021240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031161 PA
Season.0301024 PA
Last 2 Years.0283059 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

A.J. Ewing's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.009116 PA
Last 2 Years.015388 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 30@ TOR1
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.04198 PA
Last 2 Years.029210 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039205 PA
Season.0241161 PA
Last 2 Years.0294130 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.278
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.07

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luis Torrens's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.013231 PA
Last 2 Years.031580 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.017121 PA
Last 2 Years.021240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L4–1
ERA3.31
WHIP1.30
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031161 PA
Season.0301024 PA
Last 2 Years.0283059 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brett Baty's full player page →

ATL ATL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from ATL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 BF
Season.044273 BF
Last 2 Years.029820 BF
wOBA allowed.348
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.007149 BF
Last 2 Years.036662 BF
wOBA allowed.305
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.042166 PA
Last 2 Years.043517 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0
Jul 4vs NYM0
Jul 5vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.044273 PA
Last 2 Years.029820 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.064173 PA
Season.033968 PA
Last 2 Years.0282272 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.191

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Drake Baldwin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.038211 PA
Last 2 Years.030776 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs STL1
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM1
Jul 4vs NYM0
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.044273 PA
Last 2 Years.029820 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.064173 PA
Season.033968 PA
Last 2 Years.0282272 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-16

Home Runs0 in 19 PA
Career Average.053
Plate Appearances19
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ozzie Albies's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.063206 PA
Last 2 Years.050972 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM2
Jul 4vs NYM0
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.044273 PA
Last 2 Years.029820 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.064173 PA
Season.033968 PA
Last 2 Years.0282272 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.367
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-13

Home Runs1 in 17 PA
Career Average.235
Plate Appearances17
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.291

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Matt Olson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.063191 PA
Last 2 Years.042788 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM1
Jul 4vs NYM1
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.044273 PA
Last 2 Years.029820 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.064173 PA
Season.033968 PA
Last 2 Years.0282272 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Home Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.265

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Harris II's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.025202 PA
Last 2 Years.019628 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0
Jul 4vs NYM1
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.007149 PA
Last 2 Years.036662 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026191 PA
Season.0241019 PA
Last 2 Years.0272767 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.075

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mauricio Dubón's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.033180 PA
Last 2 Years.029487 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.044273 PA
Last 2 Years.029820 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.064173 PA
Season.033968 PA
Last 2 Years.0282272 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Home Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dominic Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.035228 PA
Last 2 Years.038715 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0
Jul 4vs NYM1
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.007149 PA
Last 2 Years.036662 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026191 PA
Season.0241019 PA
Last 2 Years.0272767 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-16

Home Runs2 in 17 PA
Career Average.353
Plate Appearances17
HR · K · BB2 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Austin Riley's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.024207 PA
Last 2 Years.036858 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0
Jul 4vs NYM1
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.044273 PA
Last 2 Years.029820 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.064173 PA
Season.033968 PA
Last 2 Years.0282272 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-11

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mike Yastrzemski's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 4 GamesHome Runs

May 6@ SEA0
May 8@ LAD0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 5vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.044273 PA
Last 2 Years.029820 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.82
WHIP1.42
IP95.1
H / K / BB97 / 92 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.064173 PA
Season.033968 PA
Last 2 Years.0282272 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jim Jarvis's full player page →