MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 3B · Atlanta Braves

Austin Riley

Austin Riley — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 40.7/100.

Today's top board
40.7
RBIs · vs NYM
Our calls on him · hits
67%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
81
this season, box-score final
Austin Riley
3BBats RThrows RAtlanta Braves
RBIs40.7/100proj 0.5#121Home Runs25.3/100proj 0.1#117H+R+RBI23/100proj 1.6#173Runs19/100proj 0.4#195Walks17.5/100proj 0.3#162Hits17.2/100proj 0.9#196Total Bases17.2/100proj 1.4#187Fantasy Points17/100proj 5.7#183Stolen Bases5.6/100proj 0#205

Today's matchup

Austin is hosting New York Mets on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (40.7/100, #121), home runs (25.3/100, #117), h+r+rbi (23/100, #173), runs (19/100, #195). We project Austin for 0.5 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Austin is 2-for-19 (.105). The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Austin's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2vs STL41000
Wednesday, July 1vs STL41001
Tuesday, June 30vs STL40000
Sunday, June 28@ SF40001
Saturday, June 27@ SF30000
Friday, June 26@ SF41010
Wednesday, June 24@ SD20010
Tuesday, June 23@ SD40000
Monday, June 22@ SD43000
Sunday, June 21vs MIL41000
Saturday, June 20vs MIL30001
Friday, June 19vs MIL31000

Austin Riley — FAQ

Who is Austin Riley facing today?

Austin Riley is hosting New York Mets on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 40.7/100 on our rbis board.

What's Austin Riley's projection today?

We project Austin for 0.5 on the rbis board (home vs NYM). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).