MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 3B · Atlanta Braves

Austin Riley

Austin Riley — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 49.2/100.

Today's top board
49.2
RBIs · @ STL
Our calls on him · hits
67%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
90
this season, box-score final
Austin Riley
3BBats RThrows RAtlanta Braves
RBIs49.2/100proj 0.5#66H+R+RBI31.2/100proj 1.6#100Home Runs22.3/100proj 0.1#65Runs20/100proj 0.4#111Hits18.1/100proj 0.9#113Stolen Bases17/100proj 0#108Fantasy Points11.5/100proj 5.5#114Total Bases11.2/100proj 1.3#124Walks10.9/100proj 0.3#106

Today's matchup

Austin is at St. Louis Cardinals on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (49.2/100, #66), h+r+rbi (31.2/100, #100), home runs (22.3/100, #65), runs (20/100, #111). We project Austin for 0.5 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Austin is 4-for-18 (.222). The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Austin's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, July 11@ STL41000
Friday, July 10@ STL21001
Thursday, July 9@ PIT50000
Wednesday, July 8@ PIT30000
Tuesday, July 7@ PIT42010
Monday, July 6vs NYM40000
Sunday, July 5vs NYM42010
Saturday, July 4vs NYM41123
Friday, July 3vs NYM20000
Thursday, July 2vs STL41000
Wednesday, July 1vs STL41001
Tuesday, June 30vs STL40000

Austin Riley — FAQ

Who is Austin Riley facing today?

Austin Riley is facing St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 49.2/100 on our rbis board.

What's Austin Riley's projection today?

We project Austin for 0.5 on the rbis board (away vs STL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).