MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · Atlanta Braves

Matt Olson

Matt Olson — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: runs at 64.4/100.

Today's top board
64.4
Runs · vs NYM
Our calls on him · hits
67%
1+ hit in 10/15 top-20 calls
Games graded
83
this season, box-score final
Matt Olson
1BBats LThrows RAtlanta Braves
Runs64.4/100proj 0.5#27Home Runs60.3/100proj 0.3#19RBIs58.8/100proj 0.6#54Fantasy Points55.6/100proj 7.4#37Total Bases55.2/100proj 1.7#43H+R+RBI55/100proj 1.9#55Hits51.3/100proj 1.1#60Walks49.8/100proj 0.5#35Stolen Bases7.9/100proj 0#194

Today's matchup

Matt is hosting New York Mets on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — runs (64.4/100, #27), home runs (60.3/100, #19), rbis (58.8/100, #54), fantasy points (55.6/100, #37). We project Matt for 0.5 on the runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Matt is 4-for-19 (.211). The full log's below.

How our calls on Matt have done

When we've ranked Matt a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 10 of 15 games (67%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Matt's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2vs STL30010
Wednesday, July 1vs STL40000
Tuesday, June 30vs STL41000
Sunday, June 28@ SF43010
Saturday, June 27@ SF40000
Friday, June 26@ SF42000
Wednesday, June 24@ SD42000
Tuesday, June 23@ SD40001
Monday, June 22@ SD41000
Sunday, June 21vs MIL20000
Saturday, June 20vs MIL41010
Friday, June 19vs MIL30000

Matt Olson — FAQ

Who is Matt Olson facing today?

Matt Olson is hosting New York Mets on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 64.4/100 on our runs board.

What's Matt Olson's projection today?

We project Matt for 0.5 on the runs board (home vs NYM). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Matt Olson done?

In the 15 games where our model ranked Matt a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 10 times (67%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).