MatchWiz

Mike Yastrzemski

Mike Yastrzemski — hitting .206 in our graded log with 10 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
63.3
Triples · vs LAD · 2026-10-07
Our calls on him · hits
50%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
135
this season, box-score final
Mike Yastrzemski
LFBats LThrows LAtlanta Braves
Triples63.3/100proj 0#13Walks53.7/100proj 0.4#17Home Runs38/100proj 0.1#28Hits37.2/100proj 0.9#41Runs34.3/100proj 0.5#31H+R+RBI32.5/100proj 1.5#39Doubles30.3/100proj 0.2#25RBIs29.1/100proj 0.4#41Fantasy Points25.9/100proj 5.8#42Total Bases23.9/100proj 1.3#43Singles13.3/100proj 0.5#53Stolen Bases6/100proj 0#40

Last scored matchup

Mike isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, at home against Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, where he landed on triples (63.3/100), walks (53.7/100), home runs (38/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's in a cold stretch

Mike is 2-for-26 (.077) across his last 10 games, down from .206 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 26 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Mike has 10 home runs and 27 extra-base hits in 350 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Mike hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Mike has recorded at least one hit in 59 of 131 games he's batted in — 45% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Mike is hitting .212 at home (36-for-170) and .200 on the road (36-for-180) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Mike a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 2 times so far. He's appeared in 135 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Mike was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: triples graded 63.3/100 while stolen bases came in at 6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Mike's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Mike specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, October 7vs LAD10000
Tuesday, October 6@ —10000
Sunday, October 4@ —10000
Thursday, October 1vs PHI40000
Wednesday, September 30vs PHI10000
Tuesday, September 29vs PHI41001
Sunday, September 27@ MIA40000
Saturday, September 26@ MIA30010
Friday, September 25@ MIA30000
Thursday, September 24vs CIN41001
Wednesday, September 23@ —10000
Tuesday, September 22vs CIN00000

Mike Yastrzemski — FAQ

Is Mike Yastrzemski playing today?

Mike Yastrzemski isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Mike Yastrzemski been hitting lately?

Mike is 2-for-26 (.077) over his last 10 games, against .206 on the season across 350 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Mike Yastrzemski appear on?

Mike was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — triples, walks, home runs, hits, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Mike Yastrzemski's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).