MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · SS · Atlanta Braves

Mauricio Dubón

Mauricio Dubón — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: hits at 50.6/100.

Today's top board
50.6
Hits · vs NYM
Our calls on him · hits
71%
1+ hit in 5/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
80
this season, box-score final
Mauricio Dubón
SSBats RThrows RAtlanta Braves
Hits50.6/100proj 1.1#65Runs41.2/100proj 0.5#108H+R+RBI41/100proj 1.7#102RBIs38.6/100proj 0.4#128Total Bases36.5/100proj 1.5#114Fantasy Points29.8/100proj 6.3#131Walks22.5/100proj 0.3#136Home Runs11.5/100proj 0.1#184Stolen Bases11/100proj 0#172

Today's matchup

Mauricio is hosting New York Mets on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — hits (50.6/100, #65), runs (41.2/100, #108), h+r+rbi (41/100, #102), rbis (38.6/100, #128). We project Mauricio for 1.1 on the hits board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Mauricio is 5-for-16 (.313). The full log's below.

How our calls on Mauricio have done

When we've ranked Mauricio a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 5 of 7 games (71%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Mauricio's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2vs STL32011
Wednesday, July 1vs STL20011
Tuesday, June 30vs STL41010
Sunday, June 28@ SF41000
Saturday, June 27@ SF31000
Friday, June 26@ SF52020
Wednesday, June 24@ SD41000
Tuesday, June 23@ SD52121
Monday, June 22@ SD41000
Sunday, June 21vs MIL43010
Saturday, June 20vs MIL40000
Friday, June 19vs MIL41002

Mauricio Dubón — FAQ

Who is Mauricio Dubón facing today?

Mauricio Dubón is hosting New York Mets on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 50.6/100 on our hits board.

What's Mauricio Dubón's projection today?

We project Mauricio for 1.1 on the hits board (home vs NYM). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Mauricio Dubón done?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Mauricio a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 5 times (71%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).