MatchWiz

Mauricio Dubón

Mauricio Dubón — our top-20 calls on him have hit 75% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
49.8
Singles · vs LAD · 2026-10-07
Our calls on him · hits
75%
1+ hit in 12/16 top-20 calls
Games graded
159
this season, box-score final
Mauricio Dubón
LFBats RThrows RAtlanta Braves
Singles49.8/100proj 0.6#25Hits45.1/100proj 0.9#36Triples33.5/100proj 0#37H+R+RBI27.2/100proj 1.5#42Total Bases23.3/100proj 1.3#44Runs20.2/100proj 0.4#42Fantasy Points17.1/100proj 5.5#47Home Runs16.7/100proj 0.1#44RBIs15.3/100proj 0.3#48Stolen Bases14/100proj 0.1#25Walks13.7/100proj 0.3#47Doubles13.4/100proj 0.1#47

Last scored matchup

Mauricio isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, at home against Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, where he landed on singles (49.8/100), hits (45.1/100), triples (33.5/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Mauricio is 9-for-37 (.243) over his last 10 games, in line with his .273 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Mauricio has 12 home runs and 44 extra-base hits in 594 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Mauricio hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Mauricio has recorded at least one hit in 109 of 159 games he's batted in — 69% — with 43 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Mauricio is hitting .286 at home (85-for-297) and .259 on the road (77-for-297) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Los Angeles Dodgers

Mauricio is 2-for-13 (.154) against Los Angeles Dodgers in our log, over 4 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 13 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Mauricio's biggest night was Sunday, September 27, 2026 at MIA — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Mauricio have graded

We've ranked Mauricio a top-20 hitter matchup 16 times this season. He got a hit in 12 of them — 75%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Mauricio was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 49.8/100 while doubles came in at 13.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Mauricio and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, October 7vs LAD30000
Tuesday, October 6vs LAD41010
Sunday, October 4@ LAD31001
Saturday, October 3@ LAD30000
Thursday, October 1vs PHI40000
Wednesday, September 30vs PHI52000
Tuesday, September 29vs PHI41000
Sunday, September 27@ MIA42112
Friday, September 25@ MIA30000
Thursday, September 24vs CIN42020
Wednesday, September 23vs CIN42001
Tuesday, September 22vs CIN41000

Mauricio Dubón — FAQ

Is Mauricio Dubón playing today?

Mauricio Dubón isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Mauricio Dubón graded?

In the 16 games where our model ranked Mauricio a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 12 times — 75%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Mauricio Dubón been hitting lately?

Mauricio is 9-for-37 (.243) over his last 10 games, against .273 on the season across 594 at-bats in our log, with 12 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Mauricio Dubón appear on?

Mauricio was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, hits, triples, h+r+rbi, total bases. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Mauricio Dubón's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).