Best MLB fantasy points matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 slate — ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points. Results show how each call played out.
Each starting pitcher below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average starting pitcher in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →
PROJ1 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitchⓘ
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
23 with a ptsLive count — updates as games play
1
Joey CantilloP
CLE@HOU
35ptsFinal
Proj 12.1 pts, #21
2
Trevor RogersP
BAL@LAD
29.95ptsFinal
Proj 11.3 pts, #24
3
Connelly EarlyP
BOS@SEA
27.1ptsFinal
Proj 15.0 pts, #17
4
Walbert UreñaP
LAA@ATH
24.85ptsFinal
Proj 15.0 pts, #18
5
Chris SaleP
ATLvsMIL
23.15ptsFinal
Proj 18.3 pts, #6
6
Troy MeltonP
DETvsCWS
23.1ptsFinal
Proj 14.5 pts, #10
T6
Tomoyuki SuganoP
COLvsPIT
23.1ptsFinal
Proj 9.9 pts, #27
8
Cristopher SánchezP
PHIvsNYM
21.9ptsFinal
Proj 20.3 pts, #2
T8
Paul SkenesP
PIT@COL
21.9ptsFinal
Proj 19.8 pts, #3
10
Kyle HarrisonP
MIL@ATL
21.85ptsFinal
Proj 14.8 pts, #13
11
Andrew AbbottP
CIN@NYY
20.45ptsFinal
Proj 13.9 pts, #12
12
Walker BuehlerP
SD@TEX
20.4ptsFinal
Proj 14.3 pts, #16
13
Max MeyerP
MIAvsSF
19.85ptsFinal
Proj 15.6 pts, #9
14
Will WarrenP
NYYvsCIN
18.75ptsFinal
Proj 14.7 pts, #8
15
Taj BradleyP
MIN@AZ
16.25ptsFinal
Proj 13.6 pts, #20
16
Colin ReaP
CHCvsTOR
16.2ptsFinal
Proj 9.6 pts, #23
17
Sean NewcombP
CWS@DET
14.75ptsFinal
Proj 9.1 pts, #25
18
Yoshinobu YamamotoP
LADvsBAL
14.7ptsFinal
Proj 20.5 pts, #1
19
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOUvsCLE
13.9ptsFinal
Proj 19.0 pts, #4
20
Emerson HancockP
SEAvsBOS
10.4ptsFinal
Proj 15.5 pts, #11
21
Ian SeymourP
TBvsWSH
9.05ptsFinal
Proj 8.2 pts, #28
22
J.T. GinnP
ATHvsLAA
8ptsFinal
Proj 16.6 pts, #7
23
Patrick CorbinP
TOR@CHC
4.85ptsFinal
Proj 9.7 pts, #22
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Fantasy Points Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) leads the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 20.5 pts is the model's top DK pitcher tonight. Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) is next at 98. This board composes every arm's full stat line into one DraftKings number — the roster decision, priced.
Top spot: Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) is the projected points leader at about 20.5 pts against BAL — the full package of innings, whiffs, and a live win chance, netted against the damage he figures to allow.
The rest of the top of the board
Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) (98) — about 20.3 pts vs NYM.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (94) — about 19.8 pts vs COL.
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) (85) — about 19.0 pts vs CLE.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (76) — about 18.3 pts vs SD.
Chris Sale (ATL) (76) — about 18.3 pts vs MIL.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 18.4 pts. Yoshinobu Yamamoto finished with 14.7. Every projection is graded against the box score.
What actually makes a DK pitching score
DraftKings pitcher scoring is strikeouts and innings, with everything else as seasoning: IP ×2.25, K ×2, a +4 win bonus, and deductions for earned runs (−2), hits (−0.6), and walks (−0.6). Run the math and the shape is clear — a seven-inning, eight-strikeout start is worth ~31.75 before the win bonus, and no realistic ER line erases that. So ceiling lives where whiffs meet a long leash, and the win bonus is why the model carries a win probability for every start rather than treating pitching points as a rate stat. Salary decides the rest: the slate's best arm and the slate's best price are rarely the same card.
How to read the fantasy points board
Each starter's projected DK points are composed from the model's own component boards — projected outs, strikeouts, earned runs, hits, and walks, plus his win probability — scored with the actual DraftKings formula (IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6). The 0–100 score ranks tonight's slate; the points number is the projection itself, graded against the real box score once the game's final.
The Fantasy Points board projects a starter's projected DraftKings fantasy points. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.
How the model gets its number
It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:
His strikeout, outs, earned-run, hits and walks projections, composed via the DK pitcher formula.
Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.
Is there a betting edge here?
Composed from the tuned pitcher boards, so it inherits their sharpness. A DFS tool, not a book market.
How to use it
The pitcher side of the DFS build — sort by value, then lock a top arm in the optimizer.
Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Which pitcher has the best fantasy points matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 20.5 pts against BAL.
What are the best pitcher fantasy points props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~20.5 pts), Cristopher Sánchez (~20.3 pts), Paul Skenes (~19.8 pts), Spencer Arrighetti (~19.0 pts), Nathan Eovaldi (~18.3 pts). The full board ranks every starter.
How are DraftKings pitcher points calculated?
IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6, plus rare bonuses for complete games and no-hitters. Innings and strikeouts dominate — which is why leash and whiffs, together, are what this board is really ranking.
Should I pay up for the top projected pitcher in DFS?
In cash games, usually — pitcher is the highest-variance-reduction slot on the roster. In tournaments, check the salary column first: the top projection at full price and a near-equal projection at a discount are different decisions, and the discount often wins the leverage math.
How is the fantasy points score calculated?
Ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points — innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected fantasy points number alongside, and graded against the box score. The exact weighting is our own, tuned weekly against results.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best fantasy points spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
