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Fantasy Points Board · Today

Best MLB fantasy points matchupsTuesday, July 7, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Tuesday, July 7, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points. Innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 25 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Projected DK Points21.2 pts

Innings5.9
Strikeouts7.9
Win probability40%
Earned runs2.3
Hits / Walks4.6 / 1.1

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Tarik Skubal's full player page →

Projected DK Points21.2 pts

Innings6.4
Strikeouts7.3
Win probability44%
Earned runs2.2
Hits / Walks4.9 / 1.6

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Jacob Misiorowski's full player page →

Projected DK Points17.6 pts

Innings6
Strikeouts6.1
Win probability42%
Earned runs2.1
Hits / Walks5.3 / 2.1

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Max Meyer's full player page →

Projected DK Points15.7 pts

Innings6
Strikeouts5.5
Win probability39%
Earned runs2.6
Hits / Walks5.3 / 1.4

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Justin Wrobleski's full player page →

Projected DK Points15.7 pts

Innings5.2
Strikeouts6.4
Win probability36%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks4.8 / 2.4

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Taj Bradley's full player page →

Projected DK Points15.7 pts

Innings5.6
Strikeouts5.7
Win probability38%
Earned runs2.5
Hits / Walks4.9 / 1.6

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Jacob deGrom's full player page →

Projected DK Points15.5 pts

Innings5.2
Strikeouts6.8
Win probability32%
Earned runs3.1
Hits / Walks4.8 / 1.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Paul Skenes's full player page →

Projected DK Points14.4 pts

Innings5.1
Strikeouts5.7
Win probability36%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks4.5 / 2.4

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Joey Cantillo's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.9 pts

Innings5.4
Strikeouts5.2
Win probability38%
Earned runs2.3
Hits / Walks5.3 / 2.4

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

J.T. Ginn's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.6 pts

Innings3.9
Strikeouts5.4
Win probability33%
Earned runs1.9
Hits / Walks3.3 / 1.3

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Ian Seymour's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.5 pts

Innings3.9
Strikeouts5.4
Win probability34%
Earned runs1.6
Hits / Walks4 / 1.6

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Andrew Alvarez's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.4 pts

Innings6.1
Strikeouts4.8
Win probability38%
Earned runs2.9
Hits / Walks5.5 / 2.2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Shane Baz's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.0 pts

Innings5.4
Strikeouts4.6
Win probability38%
Earned runs2.3
Hits / Walks5.3 / 2.1

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Andrew Abbott's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.8 pts

Innings4.8
Strikeouts5
Win probability34%
Earned runs2.5
Hits / Walks4.9 / 1.5

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Matthew Boyd's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.7 pts

Innings5.4
Strikeouts5
Win probability34%
Earned runs2.9
Hits / Walks5.2 / 1.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Payton Tolle's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.6 pts

Innings5
Strikeouts5.1
Win probability34%
Earned runs2.6
Hits / Walks5.2 / 2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

José Soriano's full player page →

Projected DK Points11.9 pts

Innings4.8
Strikeouts4.3
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.2
Hits / Walks4.7 / 1.4

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Trevor McDonald's full player page →

Projected DK Points11.9 pts

Innings5.4
Strikeouts4.6
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.7
Hits / Walks5.7 / 1.9

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Seth Lugo's full player page →

Projected DK Points11.2 pts

Innings5.2
Strikeouts4.7
Win probability33%
Earned runs2.9
Hits / Walks5.7 / 1.9

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Will Warren's full player page →

Projected DK Points11.1 pts

Innings4.1
Strikeouts4.6
Win probability33%
Earned runs2
Hits / Walks4.4 / 2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Hurston Waldrep's full player page →

Projected DK Points10.9 pts

Innings4.5
Strikeouts5.4
Win probability28%
Earned runs3.2
Hits / Walks4.3 / 2.3

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Tatsuya Imai's full player page →

Projected DK Points10.4 pts

Innings4.9
Strikeouts4.7
Win probability30%
Earned runs3.1
Hits / Walks4.4 / 2.6

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Noah Schultz's full player page →

Projected DK Points8.2 pts

Innings5.3
Strikeouts3.9
Win probability28%
Earned runs3.8
Hits / Walks5.6 / 2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Zac Gallen's full player page →

Projected DK Points7.7 pts

Innings4.7
Strikeouts3.1
Win probability31%
Earned runs2.8
Hits / Walks5 / 2.4

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Germán Márquez's full player page →

Projected DK Points6.7 pts

Innings4.7
Strikeouts3.5
Win probability27%
Earned runs3.5
Hits / Walks5.6 / 2.1

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Michael Lorenzen's full player page →

What the fantasy points board is

The Fantasy Points board projects a starter's projected DraftKings fantasy points. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His strikeout, outs, earned-run, hits and walks projections, composed via the DK pitcher formula.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Composed from the tuned pitcher boards, so it inherits their sharpness. A DFS tool, not a book market.

How to use it

The pitcher side of the DFS build — sort by value, then lock a top arm in the optimizer.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.