Best MLB Runs Matchups — Sunday, May 24, 2026
Top runs spot: Willy Adames
Willy Adames (SF) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Schultz. The righty is scoring at — R/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a run in about 12% of his trips. And Noah Schultz has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Noah Schultz too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) (100) vs LHP Robbie Ray: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (100) vs LHP MacKenzie Gore: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Alejandro Osuna (TEX) (100) vs LHP Reid Detmers: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (91) vs RHP Luis Medina: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Lawrence Butler (ATH) (91) vs RHP Michael King: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (90) vs LHP Noah Schultz: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Munetaka Murakami (CWS) (90) vs LHP Robbie Ray: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Willy Adames finished with 2 runs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.