MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchupsThursday, June 11, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, June 11, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64%a +15% return.

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.3% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB25.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 12@ HOU9
May 18vs CWS8
May 24@ KC4
May 30vs AZ9
Jun 5@ DET7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.3%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.5%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)17.2%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)22.1%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)21.7%2.9
6. Leody Taveras (L)20.7%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)23.2%2.0
8. Coby Mayo (R)29.9%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+115-155
BOVBovada+120-160
FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 5.6 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.0% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB25.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 4vs CIN8
May 9@ TEX6
May 15@ CWS2
May 20vs MIL2
Jun 5vs SF6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Edouard Julien (L)25.0%3.0
2. Willi Castro (L)24.3%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)18.7%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)24.7%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)19.7%2.8
6. Cole Carrigg (L)22.0%2.0
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0
8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)25.2%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BRBetRivers-118-113
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-106-120
FDFanDuel-112-118

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 14vs MIA5
May 19vs HOU6
May 25@ CWS6
May 31@ PIT7
Jun 5vs KC2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.3%3.0
2. Gleyber Torres (R)20.8%3.0
3. Riley Greene (L)25.8%3.0
4. Dillon Dingler (R)19.8%3.0
5. Kerry Carpenter (L)27.0%3.0
6. Colt Keith (L)21.2%2.5
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)28.9%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)20.0%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BRBetRivers-150+112
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-144+113
FDFanDuel-132+100

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 10vs ATL7
May 16@ LAA5
May 22@ MIL4
May 29vs PHI9
Jun 4@ AZ4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)22.1%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)26.9%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)21.1%3.0
4. Marcell Ozuna (R)24.5%3.0
5. Spencer Horwitz (L)20.8%3.0
6. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%3.0
7. Jake Mangum (R)19.6%2.7
8. Rafael Flores Jr. (R)27.1%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BRBetRivers-139+105
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-153+120
FANFanatics-150+115
FDFanDuel-144+108

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 1 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 30@ PIT4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)21.9%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)20.1%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)15.8%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)22.4%2.5
5. A.J. Ewing (L)26.5%2.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.5%2.0
7. Brett Baty (L)25.8%2.0
8. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.5%2.0
9. MJ Melendez (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BRBetRivers-121-110
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-107-119
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel-106-125

We project 4.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.3% K / BF

vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 13vs DET5
May 18@ WSH5
May 24@ MIA5
May 30vs MIA8
Jun 5@ SD3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)18.3%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)18.4%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)18.6%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)27.1%2.3
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)20.4%2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)20.6%2.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)26.0%2.0
8. Nolan Gorman (L)32.4%2.0
9. Nathan Church (L)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers+120-162
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+112-144
FDFanDuel+120-148

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 13vs NYY7
May 19@ TB6
May 25vs TB3
May 31vs TOR4
Jun 6@ TOR3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)17.6%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.9%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)14.6%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)20.7%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)28.9%3.0
6. Dominic Canzone (L)19.7%2.2
7. Miles Mastrobuoni (L)21.8%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)18.5%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BRBetRivers-117-114
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-115-111
FANFanatics-115-115
FDFanDuel-112-108

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB18.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 15@ STL5
May 20vs BOS8
May 25vs NYY5
May 31@ TEX5
Jun 5@ MIN2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)21.3%3.0
2. Corey Seager (L)22.6%3.0
3. Josh Jung (R)20.8%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.8%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.8%3.0
6. Jake Burger (R)24.8%3.0
7. Evan Carter (L)22.2%2.3
8. Elias Díaz (R)22.5%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BRBetRivers-121-110
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-112-113
FDFanDuel-104-118

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 8vs CHC3
May 13vs AZ3
May 25vs HOU5
May 30vs KC2
Jun 5vs CLE5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)22.0%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)22.1%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.3%3.0
4. Jac Caglianone (L)26.0%3.0
5. Lane Thomas (R)23.8%2.3
6. Michael Massey (L)22.0%2.0
7. Kameron Misner (L)31.0%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)18.1%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BRBetRivers-159+120
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-140+110
FANFanatics-140+105
FDFanDuel-138+104

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.5% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 13vs COL3
May 19@ STL3
May 24@ TOR5
May 30vs MIN5
Jun 5@ ATL4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.4%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)19.8%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)16.9%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)16.3%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.5%3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)20.9%2.4
7. Ryan Ward (L)24.3%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)24.2%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+124-159
FDFanDuel+122-150

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.6% K / BF

vs LHB17.1%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 14@ NYM2
May 19vs CLE1
May 26vs LAA7
May 31@ CWS4
Jun 6vs SEA1

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)21.1%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)26.3%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.4%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)23.3%3.0
5. Brooks Lee (L)18.1%2.7
6. Royce Lewis (R)23.6%2.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)18.6%2.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)24.8%2.0
9. Austin Martin (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BRBetRivers-134+100
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-144+113
FANFanatics-140+105
FDFanDuel-132+108

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.9% K / BF

vs LHB16.4%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 15@ COL3
May 20vs SF4
May 25@ SF4
May 31@ SEA2
Jun 5vs WSH4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)12.9%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)18.2%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)28.6%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)14.8%3.0
5. Javier Sanoja (R)15.3%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)32.1%3.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L)19.8%2.6
8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+117-150
FANFanatics+120-160
FDFanDuel+118-158

We project 4.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB17.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 11@ SD4
Apr 18vs LAD5
Apr 23vs SD3
May 30vs SF2
Jun 5vs MIL4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.9%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)17.3%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)23.1%2.9
4. Ian Happ (L)26.1%2.0
5. Seiya Suzuki (R)25.9%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)10.1%2.0
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.4%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)18.3%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BRBetRivers-104-129
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-103-123
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel-110-110

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.9 BF

Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)19.1%3.0
2. Randal Grichuk (R)20.8%2.9
3. Miguel Vargas (R)16.5%2.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)24.0%2.0
5. Everson Pereira (R)26.4%2.0
6. Braden Montgomery (R)22.0%2.0
7. Edgar Quero (R)21.1%2.0
8. Luisangel Acuña (R)16.0%2.0
9. Sam Antonacci (L)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BRBetRivers+114-152
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-152
FDFanDuel+118-158

We project 3.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB16.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)16.2%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)20.0%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)21.8%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)13.4%3.0
5. Austin Riley (R)27.8%2.7
6. Jorge Mateo (R)25.0%2.0
7. Eli White (R)20.7%2.0
8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)22.3%2.0
9. Sandy León (R)27.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-150+115
DKDraftKings-151+118
FANFanatics-150+115
FDFanDuel-144+118

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB16.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.3 BF

Expected batters faced18.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 2 GamesStrikeouts

May 24vs NYM4
May 30@ NYM2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)17.5%2.3
2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.7%2.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)18.8%2.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)22.0%2.0
5. Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.4%2.0
6. LuJames Groover (R)22.0%2.0
7. Tommy Troy (R)22.1%2.0
8. Aramis Garcia (R)24.6%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (L)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BRBetRivers-118-113
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-151+118
FDFanDuel-120-102

We project 3.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.