MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Mitch Keller. The lefty is piling up fantasy points at 2.268 fantasy/PA against righties this year — and 2.846 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat worth about 2.20 fantasy points a trip. And Mitch Keller has been vulnerable to righties lately — 1.823 fantasy points per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Mitch Keller too — .500 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- James Wood (WSH) (87) vs RHP Michael Wacha: an excellent bat at 2.111 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.500), hot bat.
- Alec Burleson (STL) (83) vs RHP Michael King: an elite bat at 2.311 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (1.870), hot bat.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (82) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at 1.969 into an arm tough on the same side (1.280), hot bat.
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (79) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: an excellent bat at 2.092 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (4.571).
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (77) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: an excellent bat at 2.124 into an arm tough on the same side (.750), hot bat.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) (75) vs RHP Kodai Senga: a strong bat at 1.927 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (73) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a strong bat at 1.948 into an arm tough on the same side (1.063).
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- RHP Merrill Kelly has been getting lit up by righties — 2.055 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Wade Meckler (LAA), Nolan Schanuel (LAA), and Zach Neto (LAA).
- RHP Edward Cabrera has been getting lit up by righties — 2.021 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), Jake McCarthy (COL), and Willi Castro (COL).
- RHP Kodai Senga has been getting lit up by righties — 2.009 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: JJ Bleday (CIN), Nathaniel Lowe (CIN), and Blake Dunn (CIN).
- RHP Zebby Matthews has been vulnerable to righties — 1.889 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Joc Pederson (TEX), Josh Jung (TEX), and Wyatt Langford (TEX).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.268 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.325 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.281 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.849 against righties this year.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.291 against righties this year.
How it played out
9 of the top 10 fantasy points matchups landed at least one fantasy point. Top play Nick Kurtz finished with 7 fantasy points. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.