MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Luinder Avila. The lefty is piling up fantasy points at 2.325 fantasy/PA against righties this year — and 2.600 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat worth about 2.11 fantasy points a trip. And Luinder Avila has been getting lit up by righties lately — 3.000 fantasy points per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Luinder Avila, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (100) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: an excellent bat at 2.199 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.975), hot bat.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (97) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at 1.962 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (3.085), hot bat.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (96) vs LHP Anthony Kay: an excellent bat at 2.173 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.071), hot bat.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (89) vs RHP Peter Lambert: an excellent bat at 2.120 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.912).
- Alec Burleson (STL) (88) vs RHP Bradgley Rodriguez: an elite bat at 2.311 into an arm tough on the same side (.833), hot bat.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (87) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at 2.124 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (3.083).
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (86) vs RHP Aaron Civale: a strong bat at 1.948 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- RHP Andrew Painter has been getting lit up by righties — 2.049 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Otto Lopez (MIA).
- RHP Luinder Avila has been getting lit up by righties — 2.032 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), Luis García Jr. (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH).
- RHP Zack Littell has been vulnerable to righties — 1.889 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Carter Jensen (KC), Jac Caglianone (KC), and Michael Massey (KC).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — 1.838 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Spencer Torkelson (DET), and Kevin McGonigle (DET).
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.325 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.268 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.152 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, 2.736 against lefties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.281 against righties this year.
How it played out
9 of the top 10 fantasy points matchups landed at least one fantasy point. Top play James Wood finished with 0 fantasy points. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.