MatchWiz

PIT @ WSH Live projections & gamecast · Saturday, July 4, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
71
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 93°F SunnyWind 5 mph, In From LF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 4/5 field 10/14Home Runs · top 5 1/5 field 1/14RBIs · top 5 2/5 field 4/14Runs · top 5 3/5 field 6/14Walks · top 5 1/5 field 4/14Stolen Bases · top 5 2/5 field 4/14Total Bases · leans 7/14H+R+RBI · leans 5/14Strikeouts · leans 1/1Outs Recorded · leans 1/1Hits Allowed · leans 0/1Walks Allowed · leans 1/1Earned Runs · leans 0/1

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob PIT 44% · WSH 56%Proj total 9.6 vs line 10.5NRFI 44% (mkt 45%) Luis García Jr. · RBIs 100 James Wood · Runs 84 Brandon Lowe · RBIs 81

PIT PIT Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
No projections for this player.
Batting order
No projections for this player.
No projections for this player.

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order
No projections for this player.
No projections for this player.

Frequently asked questions

What does this PIT @ WSH page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.