Every projection on this site is scored against the real result. These are the pieces written from that ledger — the methodology behind a number, the edge we thought we had and didn't, the week a board earned its place, the call that looked right and lost anyway. A name on a piece means that person wrote or reviewed it before it went up.
Analysis
What the model got right, what it got wrong, and why — written by the people who built it, from the same graded ledger the boards publish.
- Weekly recap · September 4, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFC · SoccerPlays of the Day Slide to 8-18 as Scheffler Delivers at East LakeMatchWiz's Play of the Day pool went 8 for 18 with a -22% ROI this week, while the golf board nailed Scottie Scheffler's win outright at the TOUR Championship.
- Weekly recap · September 4, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFC · SoccerPlays of the Day Slip to -8% as the Board's Stat Splits WidenMatchWiz's Plays of the Day went 13 of 25 for the week ending August 23 and still finished at -8% ROI, while the strikeout and walk boards for pitchers ran hot and the home run board stayed cold.
- Weekly recap · September 4, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFC · SoccerScheffler Backs Up the Top Pick as Plays of the Day Go 11-for-16The Play of the Day pool hit 11 of 16 for a 23% ROI while Scottie Scheffler validated our No. 1 golf pick with a St. Jude win.
- Weekly recap · September 4, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFCThe Play of the Day Pool Loses 16% While the Full Board Grinds Through 14,935 CallsMLB's Play of the Day pool went 1-for-2 and finished the week at -16% ROI, even as the full board hit 5,158 of 14,935 ranked matchups.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFCA 19% Week Undone by One Strikeout CallMatchWiz's Play of the Day pool went 16-for-24 at 19% ROI over August 3 to August 9, while a blown strikeout under nearly wrecked it.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFC · SoccerThree Strikeout Unders Blow Up as Play of the Day Ekes Out a 6% WeekPlays of the Day went 4 of 7 for a 6% ROI while the posted-play log limped to 11 of 22 across 602 graded rows.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFC · SoccerA 30% Week for the Headline Call, a Cold One for Home RunsThe Play of the Day pool went 3 of 4 for a 30% ROI while the posted plays cooled to 14 of 23 across a 602-row graded week.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · Golf · UFC · SoccerPlays of the Day Go 2-for-4 While UFC Nails 11 of 12The headline call finished 2 of 4 for a -15% ROI this week, even as the posted plays, MLB boards, UFC card and golf slate all told their own separate stories.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · GolfThree-for-Six on the Headline Call, and a Cubs Total That Blew Up to 23Plays of the Day went 3-for-6 for a -14% ROI this week, while the posted-play log settled at 23-for-46 across 602 graded rows.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · Golf3-for-16: MatchWiz's Play of the Day Has Its Worst Week of the YearThe headline call went 3 for 16 for a -67% ROI this week, even as the ranked boards underneath it kept grinding.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · GolfOne for Two on the Plays of the Day, and a U.S. Open Winner We Had Ranked 27thThis week's Play of the Day pool went 1 of 2 for a -15% ROI, while the ranked matchup pools and stat boards told a much steadier story across 602 graded rows.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · GolfOne Play of the Day, One Win, and a Cold Week for Home RunsMatchWiz graded 602 rows this week, with its lone Play of the Day cashing at 69% ROI while home run calls stayed stuck at 14%.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · GolfNo Play of the Day, a Winner Ranked 54th, and a Week the Boards Had to CarryThere's no Play of the Day to report this week — instead it's 527 graded MLB rows and a golf winner our board had ranked 54th.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · Golf · SoccerA 16% Week for the Headline Call, a Rough One at the Top of the Golf BoardMatchWiz's Play of the Day pool went 4 of 6 for a 16% ROI this week, while the ranked stat boards were mixed and the winner at the Schwab Challenge came from nowhere near our top ranking.
- Weekly recap · August 17, 2026 · MLB · Golf · SoccerA 1% Week for the Play of the Day, But the Hits Allowed Board Ran HotMatchWiz graded 332 rows this week, and the headline call — the Play of the Day — finished 3 for 6 for a 1% ROI.