MIL @ STL Live projections & gamecast · Thursday, July 9, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
8–4
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F OvercastWind 9 mph, Out To RF
Model Recap
Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.
Hits · top 5 4/5 field 10/18Home Runs · top 5 1/5 field 3/18RBIs · top 5 2/5 field 7/18Runs · top 5 5/5 field 8/18Walks · top 5 2/5 field 6/18Stolen Bases · top 5 1/5 field 1/18Total Bases · leans 7/18H+R+RBI · leans 9/18Strikeouts · leans 0/2Outs Recorded · leans 1/1Hits Allowed · leans 1/2Walks Allowed · leans 2/2Earned Runs · leans 2/2
Pre-Game Projections
Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →
Win prob MIL 60% · STL 40%Proj total 8.4 vs line 8.5NRFI 54% (mkt 51%)★ Logan Henderson · Hits Allowed 100★ Garrett Mitchell · Hits 90★ Jackson Chourio · Runs 79
MIL Lineup
✓
Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order
STL Lineup
✓
Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order
Frequently asked questions
- What does this MIL @ STL page show?
- Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
- How often does the live data update?
- Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
- What do the matchup scores mean?
- Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.