MatchWiz

MIL @ PIT Live projections & gamecast · Saturday, July 11, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
23
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 82°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 4/5 field 9/15Singles · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Doubles · top 5 2/5 field 4/18Triples · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Home Runs · top 5 1/5 field 1/15RBIs · top 5 2/5 field 3/15Runs · top 5 1/5 field 5/15Walks · top 5 2/5 field 2/15Stolen Bases · top 5 2/5 field 2/15Total Bases · leans 9/15H+R+RBI · leans 9/15Strikeouts · leans 2/2Hits Allowed · leans 1/1Earned Runs · leans 0/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob MIL 63% · PIT 37%Proj total 10.6 vs line 9NRFI 54% (mkt 56%) Garrett Mitchell · Runs 100 Brice Turang · Runs 91 Jake Bauers · Runs 85

MIL MIL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

PIT PIT Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this MIL @ PIT page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.