MatchWiz

PHI @ MIN Live projections & gamecast · Sunday, August 16, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
75
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 79°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To CF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 4/5 field 13/18Singles · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Doubles · top 5 1/5 field 3/18Triples · top 5 0/5 field 1/18Home Runs · top 5 1/5 field 3/18RBIs · top 5 1/5 field 4/18Runs · top 5 3/5 field 8/18Walks · top 5 2/5 field 7/18Stolen Bases · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Total Bases · leans 6/18H+R+RBI · leans 10/18Strikeouts · leans 0/2Outs Recorded · leans 2/2Hits Allowed · leans 2/2Walks Allowed · leans 2/2Earned Runs · leans 1/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob PHI 50% · MIN 50%Proj total 9.1 vs line 9.5NRFI 37% (mkt 47%) Kyle Schwarber · Home Runs 100 Bryce Harper · Runs 86 Trevor Larnach · Runs 83

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this PHI @ MIN page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.