MatchWiz

SD @ LAD Live projections & gamecast · Saturday, July 4, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
03
Final
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, L To R

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 3/5 field 7/18Home Runs · top 5 1/5 field 1/18RBIs · top 5 1/5 field 2/18Runs · top 5 1/5 field 3/18Walks · top 5 1/5 field 5/18Stolen Bases · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Total Bases · leans 7/18H+R+RBI · leans 5/18Strikeouts · leans 0/1Outs Recorded · leans 1/1Hits Allowed · leans 0/1Walks Allowed · leans 1/1Earned Runs · leans 0/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob SD 28% · LAD 72%Proj total 8.3 vs line 9.5NRFI 64% (mkt 47%) Wandy Peralta · Hits Allowed 100 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · Outs Recorded 100 Tommy Edman · H+R+RBI 100

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

LAD LAD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this SD @ LAD page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.