MatchWiz

PHI @ KC Live projections & gamecast · Saturday, July 4, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
61
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 82°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, L To R

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 3/5 field 12/18Home Runs · top 5 0/5 field 3/18RBIs · top 5 0/5 field 4/18Runs · top 5 1/5 field 6/18Walks · top 5 2/5 field 3/18Stolen Bases · top 5 0/5 field 1/18Total Bases · leans 8/18H+R+RBI · leans 10/18Strikeouts · leans 1/2Outs Recorded · leans 2/2Hits Allowed · leans 2/2Walks Allowed · leans 0/2Earned Runs · leans 2/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob PHI 50% · KC 50%Proj total 7.1 vs line 9.5NRFI 56% (mkt 46%) Kyle Schwarber · Home Runs 100 Trea Turner · Hits 99 Michael Wacha · Outs Recorded 94

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

KC KC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this PHI @ KC page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.