MatchWiz

TB @ COL Live projections & gamecast · Wednesday, August 5, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
40
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 69°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, In From CF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 4/5 field 9/18Singles · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Doubles · top 5 0/5 field 1/18Triples · top 5 1/5 field 1/18Home Runs · top 5 1/5 field 1/18RBIs · top 5 2/5 field 4/18Runs · top 5 3/5 field 4/18Walks · top 5 2/5 field 5/18Stolen Bases · top 5 3/5 field 3/18Total Bases · leans 6/18H+R+RBI · leans 7/18Strikeouts · leans 2/2Outs Recorded · leans 0/2Hits Allowed · leans 2/2Walks Allowed · leans 0/2Earned Runs · leans 2/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob TB 54% · COL 46%Proj total 11.2 vs line 11NRFI 48% (mkt 42%) Chandler Simpson · Hits 100 Victor Mesa Jr. · Runs 99 Jonathan Aranda · Total Bases 96

TB TB Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

COL COL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this TB @ COL page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.