What does this STL @ CHC page show?

Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.

How often does the live data update?

Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.

What do the matchup scores mean?

Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.

STL @ CHC Live projections & gamecast · Sunday, August 16, 2026

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

11–4

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 86°F CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To RF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 5/5 field 12/17Singles · top 5 0/5 field 0/17Doubles · top 5 2/5 field 5/17Triples · top 5 0/5 field 0/17Home Runs · top 5 2/5 field 4/17RBIs · top 5 3/5 field 7/17Runs · top 5 4/5 field 10/17Walks · top 5 1/5 field 9/17Stolen Bases · top 5 0/5 field 0/17Total Bases · leans 9/17H+R+RBI · leans 9/17Strikeouts · leans 2/2Outs Recorded · leans 2/2Hits Allowed · leans 1/2Walks Allowed · leans 1/2Earned Runs · leans 1/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob STL 44% · CHC 56%Proj total 9.0 vs line 9 NRFI 49% (mkt 48%)★ Alec Burleson · Total Bases 100★ Edward Cabrera · Hits Allowed 100★ JJ Wetherholt · Runs 95

STL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Facing

Batting order

CHC Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Facing

Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this STL @ CHC page show?: Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?: Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?: Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.