What does this SD @ ATL page show?

Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.

How often does the live data update?

Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.

What do the matchup scores mean?

Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.

SD @ ATL Live projections & gamecast · Thursday, July 23, 2026

San Diego Padres

5–6

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To LF

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 4/5 field 14/18Singles · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Doubles · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Triples · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Home Runs · top 5 2/5 field 5/18RBIs · top 5 3/5 field 7/18Runs · top 5 4/5 field 10/18Walks · top 5 1/5 field 1/18Stolen Bases · top 5 0/5 field 0/18Total Bases · leans 11/17H+R+RBI · leans 12/17Strikeouts · leans 0/1Outs Recorded · leans 1/1Hits Allowed · leans 0/1Walks Allowed · leans 1/1Earned Runs · leans 1/2

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob SD 19% · ATL 81%Proj total 8.6 vs line 8 NRFI 61% (mkt 52%)★ Fernando Tatis Jr. · Singles 100★ Kyle Hart · Hits Allowed 100★ Chris Sale · Strikeouts 100

SD Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Facing

Batting order

ATL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Facing

Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this SD @ ATL page show?: Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?: Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?: Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.