Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Anthony Kay. The righty is stacking production at .722 (H+R+RBI)/PA against lefties this year — and 1.133 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 60% of his trips. And Anthony Kay has been getting lit up by lefties lately — .679 H+R+RBI per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Anthony Kay. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (99) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at .547 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.894), hot bat.
- Tommy Edman (LAD) (90) vs LHP Shane McClanahan: an excellent bat at .565 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.550).
- James Wood (WSH) (90) vs RHP Luinder Avila: a strong bat at .542 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.909), hot bat.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (90) vs RHP Peter Lambert: an excellent bat at .591 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.471).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (86) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: a strong bat at .538 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.625), hot bat.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (85) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at .593 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.750).
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (82) vs LHP Carson Whisenhunt: an excellent bat at .606 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Luinder Avila has been getting lit up by righties — .597 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), Luis García Jr. (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH).
- RHP Andrew Painter has been getting lit up by righties — .592 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Otto Lopez (MIA), and Kyle Stowers (MIA).
- RHP Zack Littell has been getting lit up by righties — .529 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Carter Jensen (KC), Jac Caglianone (KC), and Michael Massey (KC).
- RHP Sandy Alcantara has been getting lit up by righties — .524 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Trea Turner (PHI), Bryce Harper (PHI), and Brandon Marsh (PHI).
Platoon edges to target
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .722 against lefties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .619 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .583 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .546 against righties this year.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .529 against righties this year.
How it played out
7 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Paul Goldschmidt finished with 6 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.