Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Mitch Keller. The lefty is stacking production at .546 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .615 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 54% of his trips. And Mitch Keller has been getting lit up by righties lately — .559 H+R+RBI per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Mitch Keller too — .500 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (88) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: an excellent bat at .593 into an arm tough on the same side (.250), hot bat.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (88) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .526 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.400), hot bat.
- James Wood (WSH) (86) vs RHP Michael Wacha: a strong bat at .542 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.722), hot bat.
- Alec Burleson (STL) (83) vs RHP Michael King: an elite bat at .624 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.391), hot bat.
- Seiya Suzuki (CHC) (81) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .517 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.529).
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (80) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: a strong bat at .532 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.357).
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (79) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a strong bat at .524 into an arm tough on the same side (.188).
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Edward Cabrera has been getting lit up by righties — .576 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), Jake McCarthy (COL), and Willi Castro (COL).
- RHP Kodai Senga has been getting lit up by righties — .567 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: JJ Bleday (CIN), Blake Dunn (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN).
- RHP Merrill Kelly has been getting lit up by righties — .553 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Wade Meckler (LAA), Nolan Schanuel (LAA), and Zach Neto (LAA).
- RHP Mitch Keller has been getting lit up by righties — .524 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), and Carlos Cortes (ATH).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .546 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .500 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .583 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .619 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .590 against righties this year.
How it played out
8 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Nick Kurtz finished with 2 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.