Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Sunday, June 21, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) tops the board at 100, facing LHP David Peterson. The lefty is stacking production at .512 (H+R+RBI)/PA against lefties this year — and .500 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 48% of his trips. And David Peterson has been getting lit up by lefties lately — .727 H+R+RBI per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .111 in 27 career PA against David Peterson, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Andy Pages (LAD) (100) vs RHP Brandon Young: a strong bat at .516 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.438).
- Willi Castro (COL) (100) vs RHP Jared Jones: a strong bat at .514 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.833), hitter's park.
- Wade Meckler (LAA) (100) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a strong bat at .508 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.419).
- Trea Turner (PHI) (96) vs LHP David Peterson: a league-average bat at .443 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.864).
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (96) vs RHP Jared Jones: a solid bat at .474 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.833), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (94) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .519 into an arm tough on the same side (.381), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Jo Adell (LAA) (91) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a strong bat at .498 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.833).
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Jared Jones has been getting lit up by righties — .622 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Willi Castro (COL), Jake McCarthy (COL), and TJ Rumfield (COL).
- RHP Kai-Wei Teng has been getting lit up by righties — .588 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Travis Bazzana (CLE), Kyle Manzardo (CLE), and Brayan Rocchio (CLE).
- RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting lit up by righties — .527 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Bryan Reynolds (PIT).
- RHP Elmer Rodríguez has been getting lit up by righties — .525 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Sal Stewart (CIN), Blake Dunn (CIN), and Eugenio Suárez (CIN).
Platoon edges to target
- Willi Castro (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .506 against righties this year.
- Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .638 against righties this year.
- Trea Turner (PHI) — righty bat vs LHP, .358 against lefties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .506 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .592 against righties this year.
Best parks for all-around production today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Willi Castro (COL) at 100.
How it played out
8 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Kyle Schwarber finished with 6 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.