MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, March 28, 2026

WSH @ CHC Home Runs matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
210
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 41°F SunnyWind 9 mph, Out To CF

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020248 BF
wOBA allowed.291
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022228 BF
wOBA allowed.253
Hard-Hit %39%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.040676 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020248 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0323823 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+475
BRBetRivers+475
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BOVBovada+440

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

James Wood's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.01187 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020248 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0323823 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

MGMBetMGM+1050
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Drew Millas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.040835 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020248 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0323823 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+800
MGMBetMGM+750
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Luis García Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.025276 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020248 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0323823 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

CZRCaesars+750
MGMBetMGM+700
BOLBetOnline+700
BOVBovada+600
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Daylen Lile's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.3333 PA
Last 2 Years.026195 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022228 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13622 PA
Season.13622 PA
Last 2 Years.0325181 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
MGMBetMGM+675
BOVBovada+650
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brady House's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.01760 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020248 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0323823 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jorbit Vivas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.019104 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020248 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0323823 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1300
BOVBovada+1200
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nasim Nuñez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.026114 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022228 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13622 PA
Season.13622 PA
Last 2 Years.0325181 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andrés Chaparro's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.3333 PA
Last 2 Years.008625 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022228 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L1–0
ERA2.46
WHIP0.82
IP7.1
H / K / BB4 / 4 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13622 PA
Season.13622 PA
Last 2 Years.0325181 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1500
BOVBovada+1500
CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jacob Young's full player page →

CHC CHC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.038709 BF
wOBA allowed.341
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.041680 BF
wOBA allowed.341
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.052968 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.038709 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0402408 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.368
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.188

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+260
BOLBetOnline+250
BRBetRivers+250
CZRCaesars+235
BOVBovada+215

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Michael Busch's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.040818 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.041680 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.0302391 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

CZRCaesars+390
MGMBetMGM+360
BOLBetOnline+350
BOVBovada+340
BRBetRivers+295

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Alex Bregman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.037980 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.038709 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0402408 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.275
Plate Appearances51

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+325
CZRCaesars+320
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+295
BOVBovada+280

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ian Happ's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.042780 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.038709 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0402408 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+333
CZRCaesars+320
BOLBetOnline+300
BOVBovada+300
BRBetRivers+290

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.0081007 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.041680 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.0302391 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.357
Plate Appearances42

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOLBetOnline+900
MGMBetMGM+850
CZRCaesars+850
BOVBovada+725
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nico Hoerner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.030980 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.041680 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.0302391 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.242
Plate Appearances33

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BOVBovada+425
CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Dansby Swanson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.035563 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.041680 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.0302391 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOVBovada+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Carson Kelly's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.021329 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.041680 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.0302391 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+625
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600
BOVBovada+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Shaw's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029351 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.041680 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–7
ERA5.44
WHIP1.29
IP84.1
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.0302391 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+600
MGMBetMGM+575
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Miguel Amaya's full player page →