MatchWiz

Miguel Amaya

Miguel Amaya — hitting .232 in our graded log with 6 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
38.9
Doubles · @ SD · 2026-09-30
Our calls on him · hits
100%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
71
this season, box-score final
Miguel Amaya
CBats RThrows RChicago Cubs
Doubles38.9/100proj 0.2RBIs38.7/100proj 0.4Runs24.8/100proj 0.5Walks24.1/100proj 0.3Home Runs19.7/100proj 0.1Total Bases16.6/100proj 1.4H+R+RBI16.3/100proj 1.5Fantasy Points8.3/100proj 5.6Hits8.3/100proj 0.8Triples1.3/100proj 0Singles0.1/100proj 0.5Stolen Bases0/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Miguel isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 7 days ago, away at San Diego Padres on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, where he landed on doubles (38.9/100), rbis (38.7/100), runs (24.8/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Miguel is 8-for-28 (.286) over his last 10 games, in line with his .232 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Miguel strikes out a lot — 63 strikeouts in 198 at-bats, roughly 32%. That cuts both ways in the WizLine. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 6 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a right-handed bat

Miguel hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Miguel has recorded at least one hit in 34 of 63 games he's batted in — 54% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Miguel is hitting .211 at home (20-for-95) and .252 on the road (26-for-103) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Miguel's biggest night was Sunday, September 13, 2026 against PIT — 2-for-3 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Miguel a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 71 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Miguel was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 38.9/100 while stolen bases came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Miguel and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Miguel specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27@ BOS42010
Friday, September 25@ BOS31002
Wednesday, September 23vs MIA30000
Sunday, September 20@ CIN40000
Tuesday, September 15vs ATL10001
Sunday, September 13vs PIT32112
Tuesday, September 8@ MIL20000
Saturday, September 5@ MIA32020
Wednesday, September 2vs MIL20000
Monday, August 31vs MIL31021
Sunday, August 30vs CIN31000
Tuesday, August 25@ AZ30000

Miguel Amaya — FAQ

Is Miguel Amaya playing today?

Miguel Amaya isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Miguel Amaya been hitting lately?

Miguel is 8-for-28 (.286) over his last 10 games, against .232 on the season across 198 at-bats in our log, with 6 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Miguel Amaya appear on?

Miguel was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, rbis, runs, walks, home runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Miguel Amaya's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).