MatchWiz

Andrés Chaparro

Andrés Chaparro — hitting .276 in our graded log with 9 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
97.6
Doubles · @ LAD · 2026-09-06
Our calls on him · hits
75%
1+ hit in 6/8 top-20 calls
Games graded
62
this season, box-score final
Andrés Chaparro
1BBats RThrows RWashington Nationals
Doubles97.6/100proj 0.2#2Total Bases96.6/100proj 1.7#3Runs85.2/100proj 0.5#3Walks82.1/100proj 0.4#5H+R+RBI71.9/100proj 1.7#3Home Runs71.1/100proj 0.2#3Hits69.4/100proj 1#9RBIs63.9/100proj 0.5#3Fantasy Points61.5/100proj 6.7#4Singles47.5/100proj 0.6#10Triples1.8/100proj 0#15Stolen Bases0/100proj 0#18

Last scored matchup

Andrés isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, away at Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, September 6, 2026, where he landed on doubles (97.6/100), total bases (96.6/100), runs (85.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Andrés is 11-for-34 (.324) over his last 10 games, in line with his .276 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Andrés has 9 home runs and 20 extra-base hits in 145 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Andrés hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Andrés has recorded at least one hit in 31 of 57 games he's batted in — 54% — with 5 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Andrés is hitting .280 at home (14-for-50) and .274 on the road (26-for-95) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Los Angeles Dodgers

Andrés is 4-for-11 (.364) against Los Angeles Dodgers in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 11 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Andrés's biggest night was Wednesday, August 26, 2026 against COL — 3-for-4 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Andrés have graded

In the 8 games where we ranked Andrés a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 6 times — 75%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Andrés was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 97.6/100 while stolen bases came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Andrés's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 6@ LAD41000
Saturday, September 5@ LAD21000
Friday, September 4@ LAD52000
Wednesday, September 2vs ATL20000
Tuesday, September 1vs ATL21001
Monday, August 31vs MIA41010
Sunday, August 30vs MIA41000
Friday, August 28vs MIA20020
Thursday, August 27vs COL51000
Wednesday, August 26vs COL43111
Tuesday, August 25@ 20000
Sunday, August 23@ MIA20000

Andrés Chaparro — FAQ

Is Andrés Chaparro playing today?

Andrés Chaparro isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 6, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Andrés Chaparro graded?

In the 8 games where our model ranked Andrés a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 6 times — 75%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Andrés Chaparro been hitting lately?

Andrés is 11-for-34 (.324) over his last 10 games, against .276 on the season across 145 at-bats in our log, with 9 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Andrés Chaparro appear on?

Andrés was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, total bases, runs, walks, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Andrés Chaparro's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).