MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, April 12, 2026

NYY @ TB Home Runs matchups · Sunday, April 12, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
45
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

NYY NYY Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 BF
Season.07726 BF
Last 2 Years.032411 BF
wOBA allowed.324
Hard-Hit %50%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 BF
Season.00014 BF
Last 2 Years.021330 BF
wOBA allowed.064
Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.055635 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.032411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA
Season.044205 PA
Last 2 Years.0332085 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.357
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Trent Grisham's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10339 PA
Season.09144 PA
Last 2 Years.049588 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.032411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA
Season.044205 PA
Last 2 Years.0332085 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.222

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+460
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ben Rice's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.02148 PA
Last 2 Years.0751044 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.021330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.024206 PA
Last 2 Years.0292509 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.366
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.239

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+270
CZRCaesars+265
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Aaron Judge's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.040885 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.032411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA
Season.044205 PA
Last 2 Years.0332085 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.214
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+510
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cody Bellinger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.00044 PA
Last 2 Years.052809 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.032411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA
Season.044205 PA
Last 2 Years.0332085 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.11817 PA
Last 2 Years.021285 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.021330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.024206 PA
Last 2 Years.0292509 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Amed Rosario's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.044655 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.032411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA
Season.044205 PA
Last 2 Years.0332085 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Austin Wells's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.034902 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.032411 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041196 PA
Season.044205 PA
Last 2 Years.0332085 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ryan McMahon's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.011613 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.021330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–4
ERA2.45
WHIP0.87
IP92.0
H / K / BB64 / 94 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.024206 PA
Last 2 Years.0292509 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.079

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

José Caballero's full player page →

TB TB Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 BF
Season.00033 BF
Last 2 Years.019212 BF
wOBA allowed.197
Hard-Hit %41%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.00025 BF
Last 2 Years.027150 BF
wOBA allowed.090
Hard-Hit %21%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.000367 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012169 PA
Season.011187 PA
Last 2 Years.0293055 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+2700
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Chandler Simpson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.04445 PA
Last 2 Years.061654 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.027150 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.004236 PA
Season.004265 PA
Last 2 Years.0244603 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.182

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+375
CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.043494 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012169 PA
Season.011187 PA
Last 2 Years.0293055 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.181

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jonathan Aranda's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.026962 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.027150 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.004236 PA
Season.004265 PA
Last 2 Years.0244603 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Yandy Díaz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.019539 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012169 PA
Season.011187 PA
Last 2 Years.0293055 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.094

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Fraley's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.039773 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012169 PA
Season.011187 PA
Last 2 Years.0293055 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cedric Mullins's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.00031 PA
Last 2 Years.004232 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.027150 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.004236 PA
Season.004265 PA
Last 2 Years.0244603 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.084

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ben Williamson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.012426 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012169 PA
Season.011187 PA
Last 2 Years.0293055 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1100
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Taylor Walls's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04224 PA
Last 2 Years.021374 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.027150 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.004236 PA
Season.004265 PA
Last 2 Years.0244603 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Fortes's full player page →