MatchWiz

Ryan McMahon

Ryan McMahon — hitting .213 in our graded log with 10 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
48.4
Doubles · @ BAL · 2026-08-20
Our calls on him · hits
100%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
101
this season, box-score final
Ryan McMahon
3BBats LThrows RNew York Yankees
Doubles48.4/100proj 0.2Singles39.4/100proj 0.6Walks38.3/100proj 0.4Triples32.6/100proj 0Home Runs30.7/100proj 0.1Total Bases28.8/100proj 1.4Hits28.2/100proj 0.9Fantasy Points25.5/100proj 5.8H+R+RBI24.9/100proj 1.5RBIs22.1/100proj 0.4Runs21.6/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases6.2/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Ryan isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 3 days ago, away at Baltimore Orioles on Thursday, August 20, 2026, where he landed on doubles (48.4/100), singles (39.4/100), walks (38.3/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Ryan is 5-for-25 (.200) over his last 10 games, in line with his .213 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Ryan has 10 home runs and 22 extra-base hits in 267 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Ryan hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Ryan has recorded at least one hit in 44 of 92 games he's batted in — 48% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Ryan is hitting .244 at home (32-for-131) and .184 on the road (25-for-136) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

His best game in the log

Ryan's biggest night was Wednesday, August 12, 2026 against SEA — 2-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Ryan a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 101 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Ryan was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 48.4/100 while stolen bases came in at 6.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Ryan's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Ryan specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, August 19@ BAL31001
Tuesday, August 18@ BAL10000
Sunday, August 16@ TOR20000
Saturday, August 15@ TOR30000
Friday, August 14@ TOR31000
Thursday, August 13vs SEA20000
Wednesday, August 12vs SEA42001
Tuesday, August 11vs SEA31012
Sunday, August 9vs ATL30000
Saturday, August 8vs ATL10000
Friday, August 7vs ATL32001
Wednesday, August 5vs STL20000

Ryan McMahon — FAQ

Is Ryan McMahon playing today?

Ryan McMahon isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, August 20, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Ryan McMahon been hitting lately?

Ryan is 5-for-25 (.200) over his last 10 games, against .213 on the season across 267 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Ryan McMahon appear on?

Ryan was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, singles, walks, triples, home runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Ryan McMahon's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).