MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · RF · New York Yankees

Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: home runs at 87.8/100.

Today's top board
87.8
Home Runs · @ ATH
Our calls on him · hits
43%
1+ hit in 3/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
53
this season, box-score final
Aaron Judge
RFBats RThrows RNew York Yankees
Home Runs87.8/100proj 0.3#2Fantasy Points59.1/100proj 7.3#60H+R+RBI59.1/100proj 2#60RBIs59.1/100proj 0.5#60Runs59.1/100proj 0.5#60Stolen Bases59.1/100proj 0.1#60Total Bases59.1/100proj 1.7#60Walks59.1/100proj 0.4#60Hits32.1/100proj 0.9#170

Today's matchup

Aaron is at Athletics on the Saturday, May 30, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — home runs (87.8/100, #2), fantasy points (59.1/100, #60), h+r+rbi (59.1/100, #60), rbis (59.1/100, #60). We project Aaron for 0.3 on the home runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Aaron is 4-for-19 (.211) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Aaron have done

When we've ranked Aaron a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 3 of 7 games (43%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Aaron's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, May 30@ ATH40001
Friday, May 29@ ATH41012
Wednesday, May 27@ KC30001
Monday, May 25@ KC41000
Sunday, May 24vs TB42112
Friday, May 22vs TB40000
Thursday, May 21vs TOR40000
Wednesday, May 20vs TOR40000
Tuesday, May 19vs TOR30010
Monday, May 18vs TOR41010
Sunday, May 17@ NYM40000
Saturday, May 16@ NYM42010

Aaron Judge — FAQ

Who is Aaron Judge facing today?

Aaron Judge is facing Athletics on Saturday, May 30, 2026. His best matchup grades 87.8/100 on our home runs board.

What's Aaron Judge's projection today?

We project Aaron for 0.3 on the home runs board (away vs ATH). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Aaron Judge done?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Aaron a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 3 times (43%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).