MatchWiz

Amed Rosario

Amed Rosario — hitting .218 in our graded log with 7 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
63.7
H+R+RBI · vs TOR · 2026-08-22
Our calls on him · hits
75%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
59
this season, box-score final
Amed Rosario
3BBats RThrows RNew York Yankees
H+R+RBI63.7/100proj 1.8Hits60.1/100proj 1RBIs59.6/100proj 0.5Fantasy Points56.9/100proj 7Total Bases56.9/100proj 1.6Runs51.3/100proj 0.5Walks50.9/100proj 0.4Singles50.4/100proj 0.7Doubles43.6/100proj 0.2Home Runs35.1/100proj 0.2Stolen Bases16.9/100proj 0.1Triples5.6/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Amed isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, at home against Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday, August 22, 2026, where he landed on h+r+rbi (63.7/100), hits (60.1/100), rbis (59.6/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

What kind of hitter he is

Amed strikes out a lot — 46 strikeouts in 147 at-bats, roughly 31%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 7 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a right-handed bat

Amed hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Amed has recorded at least one hit in 26 of 55 games he's batted in — 47% — with 4 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Amed is hitting .189 at home (10-for-53) and .234 on the road (22-for-94) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Amed a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 4 times so far. He's appeared in 59 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Amed was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: h+r+rbi graded 63.7/100 while triples came in at 5.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Amed gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Amed specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, August 21vs TOR00000
Tuesday, August 18@ 10000
Sunday, August 16@ 10000
Thursday, August 13@ 10000
Wednesday, August 12@ 10000
Saturday, August 8vs ATL30000
Friday, August 7@ 10000
Sunday, August 2@ CHC41000
Saturday, August 1@ CHC41000
Friday, July 31@ CHC31111
Thursday, July 30@ 10000
Tuesday, July 28@ CWS41000

Amed Rosario — FAQ

Is Amed Rosario playing today?

Amed Rosario isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Saturday, August 22, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Amed Rosario been hitting lately?

Amed is 3-for-19 (.158) over his last 10 games, against .218 on the season across 147 at-bats in our log, with 7 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Amed Rosario appear on?

Amed was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — h+r+rbi, hits, rbis, fantasy points, total bases. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Amed Rosario's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).