MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

STL @ CHC Home Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
8:08 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 BF
Season.054112 BF
Last 2 Years.040327 BF
wOBA allowed.298
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 BF
Season.049284 BF
Last 2 Years.056982 BF
wOBA allowed.313
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.017120 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.054112 PA
Last 2 Years.040327 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038131 PA
Season.035741 PA
Last 2 Years.0312784 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.290
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.036110 PA
Last 2 Years.055256 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.049284 PA
Last 2 Years.056982 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043184 PA
Season.036900 PA
Last 2 Years.0304276 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.383
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Home Runs1 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.257

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.07086 PA
Last 2 Years.044226 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.049284 PA
Last 2 Years.056982 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043184 PA
Season.036900 PA
Last 2 Years.0304276 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.28

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.053

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.08834 PA
Last 2 Years.08834 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23vs AZ0
Jun 24vs AZ0
Jun 30@ ATL1
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.049284 PA
Last 2 Years.056982 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043184 PA
Season.036900 PA
Last 2 Years.0304276 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.375
Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.349

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nelson Velázquez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.010101 PA
Last 2 Years.014293 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.054112 PA
Last 2 Years.040327 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038131 PA
Season.035741 PA
Last 2 Years.0312784 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.255
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.290
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-11

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.067

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alec Burleson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00078 PA
Last 2 Years.021339 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.049284 PA
Last 2 Years.056982 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043184 PA
Season.036900 PA
Last 2 Years.0304276 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-14

Home Runs1 in 14 PA
Career Average.357
Plate Appearances14
HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masyn Winn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01375 PA
Last 2 Years.01195 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.049284 PA
Last 2 Years.056982 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043184 PA
Season.036900 PA
Last 2 Years.0304276 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.08

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.049284 PA
Last 2 Years.056982 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043184 PA
Season.036900 PA
Last 2 Years.0304276 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Jordan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.01760 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL1
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.054112 PA
Last 2 Years.040327 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.08
IP98.1
H / K / BB83 / 92 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038131 PA
Season.035741 PA
Last 2 Years.0312784 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.290
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathan Church's full player page →

CHC CHC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CHC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 BF
Season.032190 BF
Last 2 Years.029386 BF
wOBA allowed.387
Hard-Hit %45%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF
Season.018168 BF
Last 2 Years.015412 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.055254 PA
Last 2 Years.051905 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.032190 PA
Last 2 Years.029386 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026190 PA
Season.0291242 PA
Last 2 Years.0303267 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.367
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-8

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.279

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.017289 PA
Last 2 Years.036862 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.018168 PA
Last 2 Years.015412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.0281237 PA
Last 2 Years.0283934 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alex Bregman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.030268 PA
Last 2 Years.049985 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.032190 PA
Last 2 Years.029386 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026190 PA
Season.0291242 PA
Last 2 Years.0303267 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.209

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Busch's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.045223 PA
Last 2 Years.044944 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.018168 PA
Last 2 Years.015412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.0281237 PA
Last 2 Years.0283934 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.352
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Seiya Suzuki's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.050258 PA
Last 2 Years.042977 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.032190 PA
Last 2 Years.029386 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026190 PA
Season.0291242 PA
Last 2 Years.0303267 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.22

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ian Happ's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.007277 PA
Last 2 Years.0061019 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.018168 PA
Last 2 Years.015412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.0281237 PA
Last 2 Years.0283934 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-10

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.033

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nico Hoerner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.037134 PA
Last 2 Years.032745 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.032190 PA
Last 2 Years.029386 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026190 PA
Season.0291242 PA
Last 2 Years.0303267 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Conforto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.007142 PA
Last 2 Years.028573 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ MIL0
Jun 27@ MIL0
Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.018168 PA
Last 2 Years.015412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.0281237 PA
Last 2 Years.0283934 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.079

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Kelly's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18937 PA
Season.049227 PA
Last 2 Years.035970 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD2
Jul 1vs SD3
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.018168 PA
Last 2 Years.015412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–4
ERA4.09
WHIP1.48
IP81.1
H / K / BB89 / 67 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.0281237 PA
Last 2 Years.0283934 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dansby Swanson's full player page →