MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

NYM @ ATL Home Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
vs
8:08 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft

NYM NYM Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYM's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.01192 BF
Last 2 Years.013236 BF
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %25%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 BF
Season.018276 BF
Last 2 Years.016979 BF
wOBA allowed.271
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.02148 PA
Last 2 Years.02148 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI1
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027147 PA
Season.030995 PA
Last 2 Years.0292962 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed25%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

A.J. Ewing's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.050464 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027147 PA
Season.030995 PA
Last 2 Years.0292962 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.357
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed25%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-11

Home Runs1 in 11 PA
Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB1 · 6 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.226

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Juan Soto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.040100 PA
Last 2 Years.046241 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.018276 PA
Last 2 Years.016979 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029170 PA
Season.027934 PA
Last 2 Years.0333352 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.189

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bo Bichette's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.02836 PA
Last 2 Years.047340 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR1
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR1
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.018276 PA
Last 2 Years.016979 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029170 PA
Season.027934 PA
Last 2 Years.0333352 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head14-for-38

Home Runs2 in 39 PA
Career Average.359
Plate Appearances39
HR · K · BB2 · 9 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Francisco Lindor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.03780 PA
Last 2 Years.03780 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR1
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027147 PA
Season.030995 PA
Last 2 Years.0292962 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed25%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.158

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Benge's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.00015 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027147 PA
Season.030995 PA
Last 2 Years.0292962 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed25%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jared Young's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.049163 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR1
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.018276 PA
Last 2 Years.016979 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029170 PA
Season.027934 PA
Last 2 Years.0333352 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Francisco Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00059 PA
Last 2 Years.021142 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027147 PA
Season.030995 PA
Last 2 Years.0292962 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed25%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.067

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brett Baty's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.02344 PA
Last 2 Years.007149 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 26vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 30@ TOR1
Jul 3@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.018276 PA
Last 2 Years.016979 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–6
ERA2.10
WHIP1.08
IP90.0
H / K / BB75 / 109 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029170 PA
Season.027934 PA
Last 2 Years.0333352 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.071

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luis Torrens's full player page →

ATL ATL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from ATL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.02194 BF
Last 2 Years.027256 BF
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 BF
Season.022185 BF
Last 2 Years.037702 BF
wOBA allowed.368
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.061114 PA
Last 2 Years.053209 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.027256 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051177 PA
Season.0331126 PA
Last 2 Years.0272857 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.232

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Drake Baldwin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.038159 PA
Last 2 Years.030361 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL1
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA
Season.022185 PA
Last 2 Years.037702 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA
Season.020964 PA
Last 2 Years.0262762 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ozzie Albies's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.047169 PA
Last 2 Years.039460 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM2

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.027256 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051177 PA
Season.0331126 PA
Last 2 Years.0272857 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Home Runs1 in 8 PA
Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.189

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Matt Olson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.023130 PA
Last 2 Years.013305 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA
Season.022185 PA
Last 2 Years.037702 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA
Season.020964 PA
Last 2 Years.0262762 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mauricio Dubón's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.033120 PA
Last 2 Years.039356 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.027256 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051177 PA
Season.0331126 PA
Last 2 Years.0272857 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Harris II's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.00031 PA
Last 2 Years.00084 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.027256 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051177 PA
Season.0331126 PA
Last 2 Years.0272857 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.269
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.049

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dominic Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.008121 PA
Last 2 Years.028249 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA
Season.022185 PA
Last 2 Years.037702 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA
Season.020964 PA
Last 2 Years.0262762 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Home Runs1 in 7 PA
Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Austin Riley's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.010198 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.027256 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051177 PA
Season.0331126 PA
Last 2 Years.0272857 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.270
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.053

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mike Yastrzemski's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.020102 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ SD0
Jun 24@ SD0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 3vs NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA
Season.022185 PA
Last 2 Years.037702 PA

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L1–3
ERA4.71
WHIP1.36
IP63.0
H / K / BB64 / 64 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018164 PA
Season.020964 PA
Last 2 Years.0262762 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jorge Mateo's full player page →