MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

STL @ CHC Home Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
2:30 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 BF
Season.075106 BF
Last 2 Years.037321 BF
wOBA allowed.367
Hard-Hit %46%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 BF
Season.020101 BF
Last 2 Years.034323 BF
wOBA allowed.255
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.041247 PA
Last 2 Years.041247 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA
Season.075106 PA
Last 2 Years.037321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA
Season.034795 PA
Last 2 Years.0302775 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.191

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.022271 PA
Last 2 Years.026644 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.034323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0411149 PA
Last 2 Years.0344927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.049267 PA
Last 2 Years.032634 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.034323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0411149 PA
Last 2 Years.0344927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.00012 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23vs AZ0
Jun 24vs AZ0
Jun 30@ ATL1
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.034323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0411149 PA
Last 2 Years.0344927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nelson Velázquez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.050259 PA
Last 2 Years.039923 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA
Season.075106 PA
Last 2 Years.037321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA
Season.034795 PA
Last 2 Years.0302775 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.370
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.216

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alec Burleson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.017243 PA
Last 2 Years.020860 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC1
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.034323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0411149 PA
Last 2 Years.0344927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.296
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-5

Home Runs1 in 6 PA
Career Average.833
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.076

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masyn Winn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.03164 PA
Last 2 Years.020147 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.034323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0411149 PA
Last 2 Years.0344927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.020101 PA
Last 2 Years.034323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0411149 PA
Last 2 Years.0344927 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Jordan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.034177 PA
Last 2 Years.031228 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ ATL1
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC1
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA
Season.075106 PA
Last 2 Years.037321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA
Season.034795 PA
Last 2 Years.0302775 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathan Church's full player page →

CHC CHC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CHC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.06888 BF
Last 2 Years.033300 BF
wOBA allowed.386
Hard-Hit %45%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 BF
Season.039279 BF
Last 2 Years.036899 BF
wOBA allowed.361
Hard-Hit %39%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.034386 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.06888 PA
Last 2 Years.033300 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024209 PA
Season.0261357 PA
Last 2 Years.0293363 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.020102 PA
Last 2 Years.036309 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.039279 PA
Last 2 Years.036899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014147 PA
Season.0241140 PA
Last 2 Years.0243457 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alex Bregman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.025118 PA
Last 2 Years.029278 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.06888 PA
Last 2 Years.033300 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024209 PA
Season.0261357 PA
Last 2 Years.0293363 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Home Runs1 in 7 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Busch's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03782 PA
Last 2 Years.041338 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.039279 PA
Last 2 Years.036899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014147 PA
Season.0241140 PA
Last 2 Years.0243457 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-11

Home Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Seiya Suzuki's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.038104 PA
Last 2 Years.035375 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.039279 PA
Last 2 Years.036899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014147 PA
Season.0241140 PA
Last 2 Years.0243457 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-8

Home Runs1 in 12 PA
Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ian Happ's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.018108 PA
Last 2 Years.024336 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.039279 PA
Last 2 Years.036899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014147 PA
Season.0241140 PA
Last 2 Years.0243457 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.360
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-11

Home Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nico Hoerner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.0002 PA
Season.3336 PA
Last 2 Years.044135 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.06888 PA
Last 2 Years.033300 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024209 PA
Season.0261357 PA
Last 2 Years.0293363 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.376
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.23

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Conforto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.03781 PA
Last 2 Years.039229 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ MIL0
Jun 27@ MIL0
Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.039279 PA
Last 2 Years.036899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014147 PA
Season.0241140 PA
Last 2 Years.0243457 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.370
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Kelly's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.05197 PA
Last 2 Years.046305 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD2
Jul 1vs SD3
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.039279 PA
Last 2 Years.036899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014147 PA
Season.0241140 PA
Last 2 Years.0243457 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Home Runs0 in 13 PA
Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.164

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dansby Swanson's full player page →