Best MLB Runs Matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026
Top runs spot: Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is scoring at .233 R/PA against lefties this year — and .389 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 18% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been getting lit up by lefties lately — .214 runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — 1.000 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (88) vs RHP Aaron Nola: an elite bat at .183 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.217).
- Jonah Heim (ATH) (84) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an excellent bat at .158 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.214).
- Gleyber Torres (DET) (84) vs LHP Joey Cantillo: an excellent bat at .162 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.393).
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (83) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: a strong bat at .130 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.294).
- James Wood (WSH) (82) vs RHP Luis Castillo: an elite bat at .172 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.083).
- Colby Thomas (ATH) (79) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a strong bat at .130 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.214).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (75) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an excellent bat at .158 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.138).
Platoon edges to target
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .233 against lefties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year.
- Jonah Heim (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .152 against lefties this year.
- Gleyber Torres (DET) — righty bat vs LHP, .256 against lefties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .148 against righties this year.
How it played out
7 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Shea Langeliers finished with 1 run. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.