Best MLB Runs Matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
Top runs spot: JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt (STL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Taj Bradley. The lefty is scoring at .179 R/PA against righties this year — and .214 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a run in about 16% of his trips. And Taj Bradley has been getting lit up by righties lately — .219 runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Taj Bradley. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (98) vs RHP Stephen Kolek: an excellent bat at .170 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.129).
- Alec Burleson (STL) (92) vs RHP Taj Bradley: an excellent bat at .160 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.219), hot bat.
- James Wood (WSH) (91) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: an elite bat at .175 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.045), hot bat.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (89) vs LHP Patrick Corbin: a strong bat at .144 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.296), hot bat.
- Iván Herrera (STL) (89) vs RHP Taj Bradley: an excellent bat at .155 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.125).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (87) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .144 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167), hot bat.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (86) vs RHP Paul Skenes: a strong bat at .147 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.136), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .179 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .140 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .211 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .200 against lefties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .160 against righties this year.
How it played out
6 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play JJ Wetherholt finished with 1 run. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.