Best MLB Runs Matchups — Friday, June 12, 2026
Top runs spot: Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. The righty is scoring at .233 R/PA against lefties this year — and .389 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 18% of his trips. And Sean Sullivan has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Sean Sullivan. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (81) vs RHP Landen Roupp: an excellent bat at .158 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.179).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (79) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: an excellent bat at .152 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) (75) vs RHP Javier Assad: an excellent bat at .168 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (74) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: a strong bat at .130 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.240).
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (72) vs LHP Nick Lodolo: a strong bat at .140 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.154).
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) (72) vs RHP Joe Ryan: an excellent bat at .154 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.077).
- Ben Rice (NYY) (71) vs RHP Trey Yesavage: an excellent bat at .162 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.154).
Platoon edges to target
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .233 against lefties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .155 against righties this year.
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .161 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .148 against righties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .169 against lefties this year.
How it played out
8 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Shea Langeliers finished with 1 run. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.