Best MLB Runs Matchups — Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Top runs spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Wacha. The lefty is scoring at .215 R/PA against righties this year — and .267 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 19% of his trips. And Michael Wacha has been getting lit up by righties lately — .194 runs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Michael Wacha too — .333 across 6 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (97) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a strong bat at .148 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.176), hot bat.
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (92) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: an excellent bat at .157 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.571).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (87) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .149 into an arm letting runs score against the same side (.120), hot bat.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (84) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: an elite bat at .171 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.094).
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (80) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a strong bat at .141 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.267).
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (79) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: an excellent bat at .164 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (78) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a strong bat at .144 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .215 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .155 against righties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .208 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .166 against righties this year.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play James Wood finished with 0 runs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.