MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

STL @ CHC Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
2:30 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33315 BF
Season.170106 BF
Last 2 Years.140321 BF
wOBA allowed.367
Hard-Hit %46%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 BF
Season.079101 BF
Last 2 Years.093323 BF
wOBA allowed.255
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13537 PA
Season.166247 PA
Last 2 Years.166247 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL2
Jul 3@ CHC0
Jul 4@ CHC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.137

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33315 PA
Season.170106 PA
Last 2 Years.140321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124129 PA
Season.116795 PA
Last 2 Years.1082775 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.6

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20035 PA
Season.148271 PA
Last 2 Years.135644 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL1
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC3
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.079101 PA
Last 2 Years.093323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113204 PA
Season.1351149 PA
Last 2 Years.1144927 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.549

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12532 PA
Season.135267 PA
Last 2 Years.106634 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL2
Jul 3@ CHC3
Jul 4@ CHC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.079101 PA
Last 2 Years.093323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113204 PA
Season.1351149 PA
Last 2 Years.1144927 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.518

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.0002 PA
Season.33312 PA
Last 2 Years.33312 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 23vs AZ0
Jun 24vs AZ0
Jun 30@ ATL1
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.079101 PA
Last 2 Years.093323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113204 PA
Season.1351149 PA
Last 2 Years.1144927 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.52

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nelson Velázquez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16237 PA
Season.139259 PA
Last 2 Years.117923 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL2
Jul 3@ CHC1
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.137

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33315 PA
Season.170106 PA
Last 2 Years.140321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124129 PA
Season.116795 PA
Last 2 Years.1082775 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.535

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alec Burleson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18937 PA
Season.115243 PA
Last 2 Years.135860 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL2
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC2
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.079101 PA
Last 2 Years.093323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113204 PA
Season.1351149 PA
Last 2 Years.1144927 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-5

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.833
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.483

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masyn Winn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20015 PA
Season.06364 PA
Last 2 Years.082147 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC1
Jul 4@ CHC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.079101 PA
Last 2 Years.093323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113204 PA
Season.1351149 PA
Last 2 Years.1144927 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.453

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL0
Jul 3@ CHC3

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.079101 PA
Last 2 Years.093323 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.113204 PA
Season.1351149 PA
Last 2 Years.1144927 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.448

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Jordan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18233 PA
Season.124177 PA
Last 2 Years.132228 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ ATL1
Jul 1@ ATL0
Jul 2@ ATL1
Jul 3@ CHC2
Jul 4@ CHC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.137

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33315 PA
Season.170106 PA
Last 2 Years.140321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L6–1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.12
IP51.2
H / K / BB45 / 31 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124129 PA
Season.116795 PA
Last 2 Years.1082775 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.481

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathan Church's full player page →

CHC CHC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CHC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.23988 BF
Last 2 Years.127300 BF
wOBA allowed.386
Hard-Hit %45%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 BF
Season.115279 BF
Last 2 Years.131899 BF
wOBA allowed.361
Hard-Hit %39%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14321 PA
Season.113124 PA
Last 2 Years.106386 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD1
Jun 30vs SD2
Jul 1vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.23988 PA
Last 2 Years.127300 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124209 PA
Season.1111357 PA
Last 2 Years.1253363 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.573

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA
Season.108102 PA
Last 2 Years.120309 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA
Season.115279 PA
Last 2 Years.131899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102147 PA
Season.1161140 PA
Last 2 Years.1183457 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.546

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alex Bregman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.068118 PA
Last 2 Years.101278 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.23988 PA
Last 2 Years.127300 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124209 PA
Season.1111357 PA
Last 2 Years.1253363 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.533

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Busch's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15020 PA
Season.15982 PA
Last 2 Years.118338 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD1
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD3
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA
Season.115279 PA
Last 2 Years.131899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102147 PA
Season.1161140 PA
Last 2 Years.1183457 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-11

Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.529

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Seiya Suzuki's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18816 PA
Season.144104 PA
Last 2 Years.125375 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA
Season.115279 PA
Last 2 Years.131899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102147 PA
Season.1161140 PA
Last 2 Years.1183457 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-8

Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 4

Projection

Projected Runs0.514

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ian Happ's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.111108 PA
Last 2 Years.149336 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA
Season.115279 PA
Last 2 Years.131899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102147 PA
Season.1161140 PA
Last 2 Years.1183457 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-11

Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.491

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nico Hoerner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.128

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.0002 PA
Season.5006 PA
Last 2 Years.126135 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 1vs SD4
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.23988 PA
Last 2 Years.127300 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124209 PA
Season.1111357 PA
Last 2 Years.1253363 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.503

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Conforto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.123

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.17381 PA
Last 2 Years.122229 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ MIL0
Jun 27@ MIL0
Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 30vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA
Season.115279 PA
Last 2 Years.131899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102147 PA
Season.1161140 PA
Last 2 Years.1183457 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.471

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Kelly's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.26715 PA
Season.17597 PA
Last 2 Years.197305 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29vs SD1
Jun 30vs SD2
Jul 1vs SD4
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19436 PA
Season.115279 PA
Last 2 Years.131899 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA5.33
WHIP1.55
IP82.2
H / K / BB95 / 79 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.102147 PA
Season.1161140 PA
Last 2 Years.1183457 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Runs0 in 13 PA
Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 2

Projection

Projected Runs0.481

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

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