Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, June 22, 2026)?

Dylan Cease (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 7.0 K against HOU. A 32% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Monday, June 22, 2026: Dylan Cease (~7.0 K), Kyle Bradish (~6.0 K), Gavin Williams (~5.8 K), Brandon Woodruff (~5.3 K), Drew Rasmussen (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Monday, June 22, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 22, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 3–5

NYYaway

DEThomeTop matchup45 Final · 2–1

KCaway

TBhomeTop matchup66 Final · 4–3

TEXaway

MIAhomeTop matchup20 Final · 1–4

PHIaway

WSHhomeTop matchup39 Final · 2–4

HOUaway

TORhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–1

MILaway

CINhomeTop matchup87 Final · 2–1

LADaway

MINhomeTop matchup58 Final · 5–6

CLEaway

CWShomeTop matchup92 Final · 2–3

AZaway

STLhomeTop matchup50 Final · 2–3

BOSaway

COLhomeTop matchup44 Final · 6–1

BALaway

LAAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–1

ATLaway

SDhomeTop matchup47

PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 1 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate32.2% K / BF

vs LHB28.7%

vs RHB32.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection7.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 13vs TB9

May 19@ NYY9

May 24vs PIT8

Jun 9vs PHI11

Jun 16@ BOS7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)19.4%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)19.0%3.0

3. Christian Walker (R)22.3%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)18.4%3.0

5. Jose Altuve (R)23.9%3.0

6. Yainer Diaz (R)20.1%2.5

7. Joey Loperfido (L)22.8%2.0

8. Jake Meyers (R)19.2%2.0

9. Raynel Delgado (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-164+125

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-142+111

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 7.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.6%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 25vs TB3

May 31vs TOR4

Jun 6@ TOR3

Jun 11vs SEA5

Jun 17@ SEA12

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)30.8%3.0

2. Nolan Schanuel (L)16.8%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)24.7%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)22.0%3.0

5. Wade Meckler (L)21.7%3.0

6. Denzer Guzman (R)19.0%2.6

7. Donovan Walton (L)18.2%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)23.9%2.0

9. Jose Siri (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-114-114

BRBetRivers-117-114

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-114-112

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-110-120

We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.6% K / BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22@ PHI11

May 27vs WSH4

Jun 3@ NYY6

Jun 8vs NYY5

Jun 17@ MIL4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)17.7%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)18.6%3.0

3. Andrew Benintendi (L)20.8%3.0

4. Kyle Teel (L)23.1%3.0

5. Colson Montgomery (L)26.9%3.0

6. Chase Meidroth (R)23.9%2.9

7. Braden Montgomery (L)22.0%2.0

8. Tristan Peters (L)20.1%2.0

9. Luisangel Acuña (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+125-164

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+117-150

FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 5.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.2%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 6@ BOS4

Apr 12vs WSH6

Apr 18@ MIA4

Apr 24vs PIT3

Apr 30vs AZ2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)21.3%3.0

2. JJ Bleday (L)19.6%3.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)21.6%3.0

4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)22.6%2.8

5. Spencer Steer (R)25.7%2.0

6. Eugenio Suárez (R)29.8%2.0

7. Noelvi Marte (R)20.8%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)26.6%2.0

9. Matt McLain (R)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+118-154

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+119-152

FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.7% K / BF

vs LHB27.3%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 24@ NYY6

May 30vs LAA4

Jun 5@ MIA9

Jun 10vs BOS13

Jun 16@ LAD7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carter Jensen (L)24.3%3.0

2. Maikel Garcia (R)18.9%3.0

3. Jac Caglianone (L)26.1%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)19.8%3.0

5. Michael Massey (L)16.7%3.0

6. Lane Thomas (R)22.3%2.1

7. John Rave (L)23.1%2.0

8. Nick Loftin (R)18.1%2.0

9. Isaac Collins (L)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-136+107

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-140+114

We project 5.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 25@ CWS6

May 31@ PIT7

Jun 5vs KC2

Jun 11@ DET4

Jun 16@ TEX4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.4%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)21.0%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)16.1%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)16.2%3.0

5. Max Muncy (L)21.3%3.0

6. Kyle Tucker (L)20.9%3.0

7. Tommy Edman (L)20.0%2.1

8. Dalton Rushing (L)26.7%2.0

9. Ryan Ward (L)26.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline+100-130

BRBetRivers-103-129

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings+107-137

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+100-122

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ CIN3

May 29vs CHC3

Jun 3vs TEX5

Jun 10@ NYM5

Jun 16vs SD6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)16.4%3.0

2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.6%3.0

3. Corbin Carroll (L)21.4%3.0

4. Pavin Smith (L)24.0%3.0

5. Nolan Arenado (R)22.4%3.0

6. Adrian Del Castillo (L)25.6%2.0

7. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.1%2.0

8. Tommy Troy (R)21.7%2.0

9. Tim Tawa (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-139+109

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-132+108

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.6% K / BF

vs LHB19.5%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 24vs ATH4

May 30@ WSH2

Jun 5vs NYM4

Jun 10vs CIN3

Jun 16@ STL1

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.9%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)23.2%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.5%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)18.9%3.0

5. Michael Harris II (L)21.6%3.0

6. Austin Riley (R)27.4%2.3

7. Dominic Smith (L)22.0%2.0

8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.8%2.0

9. Jorge Mateo (R)23.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-120-108

BRBetRivers-125-106

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-148+116

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-130+106

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22vs TB2

May 27@ KC10

Jun 3vs CLE2

Jun 9@ CLE4

Jun 16vs CWS6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.8%3.0

2. Dillon Dingler (R)21.3%3.0

3. Kerry Carpenter (L)27.0%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)25.6%3.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)29.5%2.8

6. Colt Keith (L)19.5%2.0

7. James Outman (L)33.8%2.0

8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)25.6%2.0

9. Zach McKinstry (L)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-125-107

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-134+105

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-125-106

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.2% K / BF

vs LHB27.4%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 3 GamesStrikeouts

Mar 26vs LAA9

Mar 31vs BOS8

Jun 16vs DET7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)17.4%3.0

2. Nathan Lukes (L)16.6%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.9%3.0

4. Alejandro Kirk (R)16.6%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)22.7%2.5

6. Kazuma Okamoto (R)30.7%2.0

7. Jesús Sánchez (L)23.1%2.0

8. Ernie Clement (R)14.1%2.0

9. Andrés Giménez (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-114-114

BRBetRivers-108-122

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-118-108

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-112-118

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 4 GamesStrikeouts

May 1vs HOU3

May 7vs TB1

Jun 10@ TB4

Jun 17vs TOR5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willi Castro (R)21.6%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)20.1%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)17.5%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)22.0%3.0

5. Cole Carrigg (R)22.0%2.4

6. Jake McCarthy (L)20.7%2.0

7. Braxton Fulford (R)22.0%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)20.5%2.0

9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-105-123

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings+113-144

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel-102-130

We project 4.7 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.1% K / BF

vs LHB26.8%

vs RHB15.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 25vs MIN5

May 30vs DET3

Jun 5@ PHI4

Jun 12vs LAD7

Jun 17@ NYY2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)24.3%3.0

2. David Fry (R)29.1%3.0

3. Brayan Rocchio (R)18.9%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)27.6%3.0

5. Kyle Manzardo (L)22.5%2.7

6. Gabriel Arias (R)26.6%2.0

7. Stuart Fairchild (R)27.8%2.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)17.0%2.0

9. Petey Halpin (L)24.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-156+120

BRBetRivers-137+104

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-150+117

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.4% K / BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23vs WSH10

May 29@ CIN5

Jun 3vs TOR4

Jun 9@ CWS2

Jun 16vs SF2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)18.6%3.0

2. Jackson Merrill (L)23.0%3.0

3. Manny Machado (R)21.9%3.0

4. Gavin Sheets (L)22.3%2.8

5. Ty France (R)25.4%2.0

6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.3%2.0

7. Will Wagner (L)20.4%2.0

8. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.7%2.0

9. Samad Taylor (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+113-147

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+106-135

FDFanDuel+120-160

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

vs LHB26.6%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 24@ ATL6

May 30vs SD5

Jun 5@ AZ4

Jun 10@ SF5

Jun 16vs KC6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)18.8%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)25.3%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)21.8%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)17.3%3.0

5. Edmundo Sosa (R)21.5%3.0

6. Brandon Marsh (L)28.9%2.0

7. Derek Hill (R)28.2%2.0

8. Bryson Stott (L)17.7%2.0

9. Rafael Marchán (R)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+103-133

BRBetRivers+100-134

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings-101-126

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+110-134

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.2% K / BF

vs LHB15.6%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 25@ SF4

May 31@ SEA2

Jun 5vs WSH4

Jun 11@ MIA1

Jun 16vs LAA4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)17.5%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)16.9%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)17.8%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)25.2%3.0

5. Lars Nootbaar (L)21.2%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)19.3%3.0

7. Jimmy Crooks (L)23.7%2.7

8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.0%2.0

9. Nathan Church (L)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-114-114

BRBetRivers-103-130

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-106-120

FDFanDuel-114-114

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB18.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 17@ CLE6

May 30vs ATL2

Jun 5@ STL6

Jun 10@ SD5

Jun 16vs NYM5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)25.6%3.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)19.8%3.0

3. Brice Turang (L)24.8%3.0

4. William Contreras (R)16.9%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)26.3%2.1

6. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.2%2.0

7. Sal Frelick (L)13.6%2.0

8. Joey Ortiz (R)18.3%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+105-135

BRBetRivers-107-124

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-108-118

FANFanatics-105-125

FDFanDuel-108-112

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB18.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 24@ BAL5

May 30@ CWS4

Jun 5vs SEA5

Jun 10vs MIN2

Jun 16@ HOU6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Amed Rosario (R)19.0%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)24.6%3.0

3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)17.1%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.7%3.0

5. Anthony Volpe (R)19.0%3.0

6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)28.2%2.6

7. Jasson Domínguez (R)20.0%2.0

8. José Caballero (R)25.8%2.0

9. Ali Sánchez (R)22.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-149+115

BRBetRivers-150+112

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-142+111

FDFanDuel-152+124

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 23vs SD3

May 30vs SF2

Jun 5vs MIL4

Jun 11vs CHC3

Jun 16@ CHC7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Mickey Gasper (L)16.2%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.8%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.0%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)28.1%2.6

5. Jarren Duran (L)28.3%2.0

6. Caleb Durbin (R)16.4%2.0

7. Masataka Yoshida (L)16.4%2.0

8. Anthony Seigler (L)25.1%2.0

9. Marcelo Mayer (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-119-109

BRBetRivers-106-125

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-120-106

FDFanDuel-115-105

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.5% K / BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 25vs HOU5

May 30vs KC2

Jun 5vs CLE5

Jun 11@ KC3

Jun 16vs MIN4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Heriberto Hernández (R)25.5%3.0

2. Otto Lopez (R)15.6%3.0

3. Kyle Stowers (L)28.0%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)16.3%3.0

5. Jakob Marsee (L)23.3%2.4

6. Esteury Ruiz (R)23.6%2.0

7. Griffin Conine (L)24.0%2.0

8. Javier Sanoja (R)13.0%2.0

9. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB18.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 4@ TB2

May 26vs COL4

Jun 2@ AZ1

Jun 9@ PIT5

Jun 15vs TB4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trevor Larnach (L)21.8%3.0

2. Byron Buxton (R)23.0%3.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)22.2%3.0

4. Josh Bell (R)22.3%3.0

5. Royce Lewis (R)20.6%2.2

6. Victor Caratini (R)24.1%2.0

7. Brooks Lee (R)19.7%2.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)18.3%2.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)19.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-148+110

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.8% K / BF

vs LHB18.8%

vs RHB18.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 25vs NYY5

May 31@ TEX5

Jun 5@ MIN2

Jun 11vs TEX2

Jun 16@ WSH3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)16.1%3.0

2. Jonny DeLuca (R)20.8%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)20.8%3.0

4. Junior Caminero (R)21.6%3.0

5. Ryan Vilade (R)20.6%3.0

6. Chandler Simpson (L)14.3%3.0

7. Ben Williamson (R)21.5%2.5

8. Nick Fortes (R)16.5%2.0

9. Richie Palacios (L)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BOLBetOnline-135+104

BRBetRivers-139+105

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-139+109

FDFanDuel-140+106

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.4 BF

Expected batters faced19.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 4 GamesStrikeouts

May 24vs NYM4

May 30@ NYM2

Jun 11vs AZ5

Jun 16@ PHI4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)21.1%3.0

2. Wyatt Langford (R)20.1%2.4

3. Josh Jung (R)20.8%2.0

4. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.5%2.0

5. Jake Burger (R)24.9%2.0

6. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.5%2.0

7. Alejandro Osuna (L)19.1%2.0

8. Elias Díaz (R)20.4%2.0

9. Nicky Lopez (L)18.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOLBetOnline+125-164

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+114-145

FANFanatics+125-165

FDFanDuel+124-152

We project 3.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.3% K / BF

vs LHB18.1%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.6 BF

Expected batters faced19.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 3 GamesStrikeouts

May 5vs CWS0

Jun 12vs TB4

Jun 17@ AZ1

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)20.1%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.4%2.6

3. Pete Alonso (R)22.1%2.0

4. Coby Mayo (R)22.8%2.0

5. Tyler O'Neill (R)27.4%2.0

6. Blaze Alexander (R)22.7%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)27.4%2.0

8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.7%2.0

9. Sam Huff (R)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.8% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 1 GamesStrikeouts

May 15@ LAA2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trevor Larnach (L)18.4%2.0

2. Byron Buxton (R)24.6%2.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)20.4%2.0

4. Josh Bell (L)20.2%2.0

5. Royce Lewis (R)25.5%1.7

6. Victor Caratini (L)17.4%1.0

7. Brooks Lee (L)15.2%1.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)16.5%1.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)22.9%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.4%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.4 BF

Expected batters faced13.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 1 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 30vs SF2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.5%2.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)19.2%2.0

3. Dylan Crews (R)19.4%2.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)23.6%2.0

5. Jacob Young (R)19.7%1.4

6. Daylen Lile (L)18.6%1.0

7. Keibert Ruiz (R)18.1%1.0

8. Luis García Jr. (L)22.9%1.0

9. Nasim Nuñez (R)20.3%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Monday, June 22, 2026

Dylan Cease (TOR) is the top strikeout start on the Monday, June 22, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 7.0 K, with Kyle Bradish (BAL) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Dylan Cease

Dylan Cease (TOR) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 7.0 K against HOU. He's missing bats at a 32% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and HOU has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Kyle Bradish (BAL) (100) — about 6.0 K vs LAA: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Gavin Williams (CLE) (92) — about 5.8 K vs CWS: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Brandon Woodruff (MIL) (87) — about 5.3 K vs CIN: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Drew Rasmussen (TB) (66) — about 5.9 K vs KC: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Zebby Matthews (MIN) (58) — about 4.5 K vs LAD: a 20% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

CLE is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Anthony Kay is the arm to exploit it (43).
DET is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Gerrit Cole is the arm to exploit it (45).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Brandon Woodruff is the arm to exploit it (87).
BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Sam Aldegheri is the arm to exploit it (0).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.1 strikeouts. Top play Dylan Cease punched out 8. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, June 22, 2026)?: Dylan Cease (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 7.0 K against HOU. A 32% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Monday, June 22, 2026: Dylan Cease (~7.0 K), Kyle Bradish (~6.0 K), Gavin Williams (~5.8 K), Brandon Woodruff (~5.3 K), Drew Rasmussen (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Monday, June 22, 2026?: Dylan Cease punched out 8.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.