MatchWiz

TEX @ MIA Live projections & gamecast · Monday, June 22, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
43
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Model Recap

Did our ranking beat this game? 1+ boards grade our top-5 scored players against the full field's rate; over/under boards grade our lean vs the posted line. Green = the model won the board here, red = it didn't.

Hits · top 5 4/5 field 10/17Home Runs · top 5 0/5 field 1/17RBIs · top 5 2/5 field 6/17Runs · top 5 1/5 field 5/17Walks · top 5 1/5 field 6/17Stolen Bases · top 5 1/5 field 2/17Total Bases · leans 10/17H+R+RBI · leans 10/17Strikeouts · leans 1/1Outs Recorded · leans 0/1Hits Allowed · leans 1/1Walks Allowed · leans 1/1Earned Runs · leans 1/1

Pre-Game Projections

Our model's numbers from before first pitch — they don't move during the game. The live grading happens on the player rows below. Build a DFS lineup for this slate →

Win prob TEX 40% · MIA 60%Proj total 8.7 vs line 8.5NRFI 43% (mkt 50%) Kyle Stowers · RBIs 90 Otto Lopez · Stolen Bases 72 Joc Pederson · Walks 71

TEX TEX Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
Batting order

MIA MIA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.
Facing
No projections for this player.
Batting order

Frequently asked questions

What does this TEX @ MIA page show?
Every MatchWiz projection for this game in one place: each hitter's matchup score for hits, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks, stolen bases, total bases, H+R+RBI and fantasy points, and each starting pitcher's strikeout and pitcher-prop projections — with the live box score graded against every one of them (✓ hit / ✗ miss) as the game plays.
How often does the live data update?
Our poller checks every in-progress game roughly every 45 seconds. The score, inning, and every player's live line on this page refresh automatically — no reload needed.
What do the matchup scores mean?
Each score is 0–100, ranking that player's conditions for that stat against the full slate — driven by batter-vs-pitcher-hand splits, recent form, park and weather, lineup spot and workload. See "How it works" for the full methodology and our graded season record.