Best MLB Triples Matchups — Friday, August 7, 2026
Top triples spot: Colt Keith
Colt Keith (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP JT Brubaker. The lefty is running the bases at .013 3B/PA against righties this year — and .051 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a triple in about 2% of his trips. And JT Brubaker has been tough to triple against righties lately — .000 triples per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against JT Brubaker. It all sets up in a park that leans hitter.
The rest of the top of the board
- Coby Mayo (BAL) (97) vs RHP Nathan Eovaldi: an elite bat at .020 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.043).
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (88) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: an elite bat at .016 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.032).
- Isaac Collins (KC) (77) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: an elite bat at .018 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) (75) vs RHP Logan Gilbert: an elite bat at .021 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (75) vs LHP Daniel Lynch IV: an elite bat at .015 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Bryan Torres (STL) (74) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: an elite bat at .010 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.033), due to bounce back.
- Cole Young (SEA) (68) vs RHP Drew Rasmussen: an elite bat at .016 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Colt Keith (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .013 against righties this year.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .021 against righties this year.
- Isaac Collins (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .016 against righties this year.
- Bryan Torres (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .024 against righties this year.
Parks where triples happen today
- Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Colt Keith (DET) at 100.
- PNC Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Francisco Lindor (NYM) at 45.
- Petco Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Daulton Varsho (HOU) at 27.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Colt Keith finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.