Best MLB Triples Matchups — Friday, September 11, 2026
Top triples spot: Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Blake Snell. The righty is running the bases at .025 3B/PA against lefties this year — and .095 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a triple in about 2% of his trips. And Blake Snell has been tough to triple against lefties lately — .000 triples per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Blake Snell too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (100) vs LHP Framber Valdez: an elite bat at .027 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) (100) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: an elite bat at .012 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (99) vs LHP MacKenzie Gore: an elite bat at .016 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Cooper Pratt (MIL) (95) vs LHP Andrew Abbott: an elite bat at .015 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
- Joey Ortiz (MIL) (87) vs LHP Andrew Abbott: an elite bat at .015 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Evan Carter (TEX) (72) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: an elite bat at .011 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
- Jonah Cox (SF) (72) vs LHP Robbie Ray: an elite bat at .012 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), hitter's park.
Platoon edges to target
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .025 against lefties this year.
- Cooper Pratt (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .017 against lefties this year.
- Joey Ortiz (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .015 against lefties this year.
- Evan Carter (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .009 against righties this year.
- Jonah Cox (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .035 against lefties this year.
Parks where triples happen today
Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Jonah Cox (SF) at 72.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Otto Lopez finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.