Best MLB Triples Matchups — Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Top triples spot: Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg (COL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael King. The lefty is hitting .037 H/PA against righties this year — and .000 over the last two weeks, a below-average bat that turns into a hit in about 1% of his trips. And Michael King has been tough on righties lately — .000 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Michael King. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (93) vs RHP Logan Henderson: a below-average bat at .012 into an arm tough on the same side (.000).
- Jackson Merrill (SD) (92) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a below-average bat at .006 into an arm tough on the same side (.067).
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (84) vs RHP Michael King: a below-average bat at .011 into an arm tough on the same side (.000).
- Luis Arraez (SF) (79) vs RHP Logan Henderson: a below-average bat at .008 into an arm tough on the same side (.000).
- Mickey Moniak (COL) (79) vs RHP Michael King: a below-average bat at .011 into an arm tough on the same side (.000).
- Jake Cronenworth (SD) (76) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a below-average bat at .003 into an arm tough on the same side (.067).
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (70) vs LHP Gage Jump: a below-average bat at .011 into an arm tough on the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- Cole Carrigg (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .037 against righties this year.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Jackson Merrill (SD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .003 against righties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .015 against righties this year.
- Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .013 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Luis Rengifo (SD), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), Freddie Freeman (LAD), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Andruw Monasterio (BOS). Cold but due to bounce back: Jacob Wilson (ATH), Garrett Mitchell (MIL), Isaac Paredes (HOU), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), and Cam Smith (HOU).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Cole Carrigg finished with 2 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.