Best MLB Triples Matchups — Thursday, August 13, 2026
Top triples spot: Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Roki Sasaki. The lefty is running the bases at .003 3B/PA against righties this year — and .026 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a triple in about 1% of his trips. And Roki Sasaki has been vulnerable to the gaps against righties lately — .067 triples per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Roki Sasaki, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a park that leans hitter.
The rest of the top of the board
- Garrett Mitchell (MIL) (79) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: a league-average bat at .004 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.067), hitter's park.
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) (78) vs LHP Shane Drohan: an elite bat at .016 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Jakob Marsee (MIA) (66) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: an elite bat at .010 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- David Hamilton (MIL) (62) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: a solid bat at .005 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.067), hitter's park.
- CJ Abrams (WSH) (59) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: an elite bat at .010 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (58) vs RHP Davis Martin: an elite bat at .011 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Luis García Jr. (NYY) (58) vs RHP Logan Gilbert: an elite bat at .013 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- Jake Bauers (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .003 against righties this year.
- Garrett Mitchell (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .003 against righties this year.
- Jakob Marsee (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .006 against righties this year.
- David Hamilton (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .008 against righties this year.
- CJ Abrams (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .006 against righties this year.
Parks where triples happen today
- UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Jake Bauers (MIL) at 100.
- Angel Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Nicky Lopez (TEX) at 50.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Jake Bauers finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.