Who has the best walks matchup today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?

Juan Soto (NL) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Dylan Cease. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?

The top walks matchups on Tuesday, July 14, 2026: Juan Soto (100), Kyle Schwarber (72), Junior Caminero (57), Freddie Freeman (54), Max Muncy (50). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Juan Soto (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .190 against righties this year. Kyle Schwarber (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .150 against righties this year. Junior Caminero (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .187 against lefties this year. Freddie Freeman (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .122 against righties this year. Max Muncy (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .129 against righties this year.

How is the walks matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does BB/PA mean?

Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for walks props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ HR" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Walks Board · Today

Best MLB walks matchups — Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, July 14, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk. Plate discipline and how freely the pitcher and bullpen issue walks, plus lineup spot. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

8:00 PM ET

ALaway

NLhomeTop matchup100

PosSort

#Hitter · MatchupScore

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.31638 PA

Season.190216 PA

Last 2 Years.190881 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8vs KC2

Jul 9vs KC2

Jul 10vs BOS0

Jul 11vs BOS1

Jul 12vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.410

Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Walks1 in 12 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 1

Projection

Projected Walks1.426

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Juan Soto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.139

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15944 PA

Season.150254 PA

Last 2 Years.155921 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ CIN1

Jul 9@ CIN0

Jul 10@ DET1

Jul 11@ DET0

Jul 12@ DET0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.372

Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-13

Walks3 in 16 PA

Career Average.188

Plate Appearances16

HR · K · BB2 · 4 · 3

Projection

Projected Walks1.063

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.132

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA

Season.187107 PA

Last 2 Years.107328 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8vs NYY0

Jul 9vs NYY0

Jul 10vs SEA1

Jul 11vs SEA2

Jul 12vs SEA1

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06562 PA

Season.058399 PA

Last 2 Years.0561283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.069

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048353 PA

Season.0682229 PA

Last 2 Years.0726167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.382

Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Walks0 in 6 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Walks0.876

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA

Season.122278 PA

Last 2 Years.110881 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 7vs COL0

Jul 8vs COL0

Jul 10vs AZ0

Jul 11vs AZ0

Jul 12vs AZ0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.382

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-19

Walks1 in 20 PA

Career Average.300

Plate Appearances20

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Walks0.839

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Freddie Freeman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.132

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11435 PA

Season.129256 PA

Last 2 Years.170659 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 6vs COL1

Jul 7vs COL0

Jul 8vs COL1

Jul 11vs AZ0

Jul 12vs AZ1

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-12

Walks3 in 15 PA

Career Average.133

Plate Appearances15

HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 3

Projection

Projected Walks0.79

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Max Muncy's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.153

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA

Season.21887 PA

Last 2 Years.167192 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jun 17@ AZ1

Jul 8@ TEX1

Jul 9@ TEX0

Jul 11@ MIN0

Jul 12@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06562 PA

Season.058399 PA

Last 2 Years.0561283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.069

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048353 PA

Season.0682229 PA

Last 2 Years.0726167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Walks1 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Walks0.766

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mike Trout's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.084

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12524 PA

Season.089112 PA

Last 2 Years.073302 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ DET0

Jul 9@ DET1

Jul 10@ CWS0

Jul 11@ CWS0

Jul 12@ CWS0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06562 PA

Season.058399 PA

Last 2 Years.0561283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.069

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048353 PA

Season.0682229 PA

Last 2 Years.0726167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.391

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Walks0 in 4 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Walks0.627

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Shea Langeliers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.086

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.089101 PA

Last 2 Years.084323 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ NYM0

Jul 9@ NYM0

Jul 10@ BAL0

Jul 11@ BAL0

Jul 12@ BAL0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06562 PA

Season.058399 PA

Last 2 Years.0561283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.069

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048353 PA

Season.0682229 PA

Last 2 Years.0726167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.359

Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Walks0 in 6 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Walks0.594

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.086

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA

Season.093279 PA

Last 2 Years.073861 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 7vs HOU2

Jul 8vs HOU1

Jul 10vs NYY0

Jul 11vs NYY0

Jul 12vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.361

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-9

Walks1 in 10 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances10

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Walks0.567

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CJ Abrams's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.071

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.057106 PA

Last 2 Years.076225 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 7@ WSH0

Jul 8@ WSH0

Jul 10@ TEX0

Jul 11@ TEX2

Jul 12@ TEX2

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.016126 PA

Last 2 Years.034381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.065

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.076211 PA

Season.0631341 PA

Last 2 Years.0693598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.363

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.217

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Walks0.477

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yordan Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.095

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.101189 PA

Last 2 Years.093540 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ PIT0

Jul 9@ PIT1

Jul 10@ STL0

Jul 11@ STL1

Jul 12@ STL2

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Walks0 in 5 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Walks0.45

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Drake Baldwin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.070

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08547 PA

Season.061262 PA

Last 2 Years.079781 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ CIN1

Jul 9@ CIN0

Jul 10@ DET0

Jul 11@ DET1

Jul 12@ DET1

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.362

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Walks1 in 11 PA

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances11

HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Walks0.445

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.128

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA

Season.169124 PA

Last 2 Years.109384 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8vs ATH1

Jul 9vs ATH0

Jul 10vs PHI3

Jul 11vs PHI1

Jul 12vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.016126 PA

Last 2 Years.034381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.065

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.076211 PA

Season.0631341 PA

Last 2 Years.0693598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.217

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Walks0 in 6 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Walks0.363

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Riley Greene's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.078

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.068132 PA

Last 2 Years.087277 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ TB0

Jul 9@ TB1

Jul 10@ WSH1

Jul 11@ WSH2

Jul 12@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.016126 PA

Last 2 Years.034381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.065

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.076211 PA

Season.0631341 PA

Last 2 Years.0693598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.217

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Walks0.331

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ben Rice's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.095

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA

Season.098234 PA

Last 2 Years.097776 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ PIT0

Jul 9@ PIT1

Jul 10@ STL0

Jul 11@ STL1

Jul 12@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.14050 PA

Season.131229 PA

Last 2 Years.119749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.054261 PA

Season.0601800 PA

Last 2 Years.0624554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-12

Walks0 in 13 PA

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Walks0.327

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ozzie Albies's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.092

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA

Season.101138 PA

Last 2 Years.084381 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 8@ TB0

Jul 9@ TB0

Jul 10@ WSH0

Jul 11@ WSH0

Jul 12@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.016126 PA

Last 2 Years.034381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.065

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.076211 PA

Season.0631341 PA

Last 2 Years.0693598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.217

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Walks1 in 6 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Walks0.303

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cody Bellinger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Walks / PA vs RHP.066

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10538 PA

Season.064297 PA

Last 2 Years.058878 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 6vs COL0

Jul 7vs COL1

Jul 10vs AZ0

Jul 11vs AZ0

Jul 12vs AZ2

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.083

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA

Season.081172 PA

Last 2 Years.084691 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.065

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.075240 PA

Season.0641653 PA

Last 2 Years.0664747 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.268

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-10

Walks1 in 12 PA

Career Average.083

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Walks0.277

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andy Pages's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Walks / PA vs LHP.062

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.057106 PA

Last 2 Years.041367 PA

Last 5 GamesWalks

Jul 7@ SF0

Jul 8@ SF0

Jul 10@ SD0

Jul 11@ SD1

Jul 12@ SD0

Opposing Starter · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.061

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06562 PA

Season.058399 PA

Last 2 Years.0561283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Walks allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.069

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048353 PA

Season.0682229 PA

Last 2 Years.0726167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %24%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-12

Walks0 in 12 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Walks0.154

A rough estimate of walks to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ernie Clement's full player page →

Best MLB Walks Matchups — Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Juan Soto (NL) is the top walks matchup on the Tuesday, July 14, 2026 board at 100, with Kyle Schwarber (NL) and Junior Caminero (AL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk — plate discipline and how freely the pitcher and bullpen issue walks, plus lineup spot. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top walks spot: Juan Soto

Juan Soto (NL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Dylan Cease. The lefty is working counts at .190 BB/PA against righties this year — and .316 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a walk in about 17% of his trips. And Dylan Cease has been handing out free passes to righties lately — .140 walks per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .167 in 12 career PA against Dylan Cease, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Kyle Schwarber (NL) (72) vs RHP Dylan Cease: an excellent bat at .139 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.140).
Junior Caminero (AL) (57) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an excellent bat at .132 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.065).
Freddie Freeman (NL) (54) vs RHP Dylan Cease: a strong bat at .113 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.140).
Max Muncy (NL) (50) vs RHP Dylan Cease: an excellent bat at .132 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.140), due to bounce back.
Mike Trout (AL) (48) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an elite bat at .153 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.065).
Shea Langeliers (AL) (37) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a league-average bat at .084 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.065).
Bobby Witt Jr. (AL) (35) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .086 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.065).

Platoon edges to target

Juan Soto (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .190 against righties this year.
Kyle Schwarber (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .150 against righties this year.
Junior Caminero (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .187 against lefties this year.
Freddie Freeman (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .122 against righties this year.
Max Muncy (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .129 against righties this year.

How to read these walks matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best walks matchup today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?: Juan Soto (NL) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Dylan Cease. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?: The top walks matchups on Tuesday, July 14, 2026: Juan Soto (100), Kyle Schwarber (72), Junior Caminero (57), Freddie Freeman (54), Max Muncy (50). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Juan Soto (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .190 against righties this year. Kyle Schwarber (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .150 against righties this year. Junior Caminero (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .187 against lefties this year. Freddie Freeman (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .122 against righties this year. Max Muncy (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .129 against righties this year.
How is the walks matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does BB/PA mean?: Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for walks props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ HR" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the walks board is

The Walks board projects the chance a hitter draws a walk. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His plate discipline.
The pitcher's control.
The count leverage in the matchup.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

An over-only market with heavy juice; our overs grade anti-predictive and lose to the vig. No edge — transparency board.

How to use it

Spot the patient-hitter-vs-wild-arm setups; not a bettable edge.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays