Best MLB Walks Matchups — Sunday, July 12, 2026
Top walks spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Will Warren. The lefty is working counts at .200 BB/PA against righties this year — and .318 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a walk in about 17% of his trips. And Will Warren has been tough to walk against righties lately — .067 walks per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Will Warren. It all sets up in a neutral park, though the weather fights it.
The rest of the top of the board
- Rafael Devers (SF) (100) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .111 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.143), hitter's park.
- Munetaka Murakami (CWS) (100) vs RHP J.T. Ginn: an excellent bat at .144 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.233).
- Mike Trout (LAA) (98) vs RHP Taj Bradley: an elite bat at .161 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.063).
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) (95) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: an excellent bat at .123 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.143), hitter's park.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (80) vs RHP Emmet Sheehan: a strong bat at .117 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.143), hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (80) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an excellent bat at .122 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.043), hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Kyle Karros (COL) (78) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an excellent bat at .123 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.000), hitter's park.
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .200 against righties this year.
- Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .100 against righties this year.
- Munetaka Murakami (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .170 against righties this year.
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .136 against righties this year.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .125 against righties this year.
Where walks come easiest today
- Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Rafael Devers (SF) at 100.
- UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Corbin Carroll (AZ) at 80.
- Petco Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Kazuma Okamoto (TOR) at 57.
- PNC Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Brice Turang (MIL) at 55.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 walks matchups landed at least one walk. Top play James Wood finished with 2 walks. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these walks matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.