MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · Los Angeles Dodgers

Freddie Freeman

Freddie Freeman — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: walks at 89.3/100.

Today's top board
89.3
Walks · vs SD
Our calls on him · hits
80%
1+ hit in 20/25 top-20 calls
Games graded
78
this season, box-score final
Freddie Freeman
1BBats LThrows RLos Angeles Dodgers
Walks89.3/100proj 0.8#4RBIs68.4/100proj 0.6#26Fantasy Points67.5/100proj 8#14H+R+RBI59.1/100proj 1.9#37Hits57.1/100proj 1.1#44Runs51.8/100proj 0.5#67Total Bases49.9/100proj 1.7#59Home Runs46.9/100proj 0.2#30Stolen Bases18.8/100proj 0.1#123

Today's matchup

Freddie is hosting San Diego Padres on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — walks (89.3/100, #4), rbis (68.4/100, #26), fantasy points (67.5/100, #14), h+r+rbi (59.1/100, #37). We project Freddie for 0.8 on the walks board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Freddie is 6-for-18 (.333) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Freddie have done

When we've ranked Freddie a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 20 of 25 games (80%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Freddie's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2vs SD41000
Wednesday, July 1@ ATH21111
Tuesday, June 30@ ATH42020
Monday, June 29@ ATH52001
Sunday, June 28@ SD30001
Saturday, June 27@ SD53021
Friday, June 26@ SD32000
Wednesday, June 24@ MIN32010
Tuesday, June 23@ MIN53012
Monday, June 22@ MIN41111
Sunday, June 21vs BAL31000
Saturday, June 20vs BAL30010

Freddie Freeman — FAQ

Who is Freddie Freeman facing today?

Freddie Freeman is hosting San Diego Padres on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 89.3/100 on our walks board.

What's Freddie Freeman's projection today?

We project Freddie for 0.8 on the walks board (home vs SD). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Freddie Freeman done?

In the 25 games where our model ranked Freddie a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 20 times (80%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).