Who has the best walks matchup today (Friday, July 10, 2026)?

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — top of the board at 88, facing RHP Cal Quantrill. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Friday, July 10, 2026)?

The top walks matchups on Friday, July 10, 2026: Yordan Alvarez (88), Iván Herrera (82), Juan Soto (79), Jordan Walker (74), Bryce Eldridge (71). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.

Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Friday, July 10, 2026?

No — Yordan Alvarez didn't record a walk.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .177 against righties this year. Iván Herrera (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .198 against lefties this year. Juan Soto (NYM) — lefty bat vs RHP, .193 against righties this year. Jordan Walker (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .120 against lefties this year. Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .139 against righties this year.

Which parks favor walks today?

Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Bryce Eldridge (SF) at 71. Petco Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) at 70. UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Corbin Carroll (AZ) at 61.

How is the walks matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does BB/PA mean?

Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for walks props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB walks matchups — Friday, July 10, 2026

Every hitter on the Friday, July 10, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Friday, July 10, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 1/5 (20%) on 1+ walk, against 43% on the season.

Top 5

1/520%

season 43%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 41%

Full slate

61/25124%

season 28%

Top call Bryce Eldridge came through. Yordan Alvarez didn't.

Final · 2–10

PHIaway

DEThomeTop matchup57 Final · 5–3

NYYaway

WSHhomeTop matchup33 Final · 3–5

KCaway

BALhomeTop matchup50 Final · 3–2

CLEaway

MIAhomeTop matchup27 Final · 0–4

CHCaway

CINhomeTop matchup48 Final · 2–7

SEAaway

TBhomeTop matchup41 Final · 6–2

BOSaway

NYMhomeTop matchup79 Final · 1–14

ATHaway

CWShomeTop matchup47 Final · 3–7

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup88 Final · 4–3

LAAaway

MINhomeTop matchup52 Final · 1–2

ATLaway

STLhomeTop matchup82 Final · 5–3

TORaway

SDhomeTop matchup70 Final · 9–3

AZaway

LADhomeTop matchup61 Final · 4–3

COLaway

SFhomeTop matchup71

Not starting67 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 318 shownScore

63 with a BBLive count — updates as games play

1
Riley GreeneLF
DETvsPHI· 1-for-1
3BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #62
T1
Esteury RuizRF
MIAvsCLE
3BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #161
T1
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@LAD· 0-for-2
3BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #172
4
Hunter GoodmanC
COL@SF· 1-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.7 BB, #9
T4
JJ Wetherholt2B
STLvsATL· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #17
T4
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@SF· 2-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #102
T4
Kyle TeelC
CWSvsATH· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #211
8
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsCOL· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.8 BB, #5
T8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TOR@SD· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.8 BB, #7
T8
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsCOL· 3-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.7 BB, #8
T8
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@LAD· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.7 BB, #10
T8
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@DET· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 1.0 BB, #11
T8
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@LAD· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #12
T8
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@DET· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.9 BB, #13
T8
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsKC· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.9 BB, #18
T8
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@SD· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #28
T8
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsAZ· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #31
T8
Gavin Sheets1B
SDvsTOR· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #32
T8
Trevor LarnachLF
MINvsLAA· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #33
T8
Joc PedersonDH
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.7 BB, #36
T8
Ian HappLF
CHC@CIN· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.7 BB, #38
T8
Cole CarriggCF
COL@SF· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #47
T8
Ryan JeffersC
MINvsLAA· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #52
T8
Taylor WardLF
BALvsKC· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #54
T8
Zach NetoSS
LAA@MIN· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #61
T8
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsCOL· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #63
T8
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsTOR· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #65
T8
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsSEA· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #71
T8
Trent GrishamCF
NYY@WSH· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.6 BB, #76
T8
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsCLE· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #92
T8
Josh LoweLF
LAA@MIN· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #96
T8
Drew CavanaughC
SFvsCOL· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #97
T8
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@NYM· 3-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #105
T8
Masyn WinnSS
STLvsATL· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #113
T8
Adley RutschmanC
BALvsKC· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #114
T8
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsLAA· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #115
T8
Evan CarterCF
TEXvsHOU· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #117
T8
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #124
T8
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #128
T8
JJ BledayLF
CINvsCHC· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #129
T8
Luis Arraez2B
SFvsCOL· 3-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #130
T8
Casey SchmittLF
SFvsCOL· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #137
T8
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@TB· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #138
T8
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOS@NYM· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #142
T8
Connor WongC
BOS@NYM· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #145
T8
Ben Rice1B
NYY@WSH· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #148
T8
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsATH· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #156
T8
Nicky Lopez2B
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #157
T8
Austin Riley3B
ATL@STL· 1-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #158
T8
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsCLE· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #165
T8
Jarren DuranLF
BOS@NYM· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #167
T8
Michael Massey2B
KC@BAL· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #175
T8
Isaac Paredes3B
HOU@TEX· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #176
T8
Jake McCarthyCF
COL@SF· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #184
T8
Miguel AndujarDH
SDvsTOR· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #194
T8
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@DET· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #200
T8
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #219
T8
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@NYM· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #229
T8
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsATH· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #234
T8
Zack ShortSS
NYMvsBOS· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #239
T8
Jake RogersC
DETvsPHI· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #247
T8
Troy JohnstonRF
COL@SF
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB
T8
Matt VierlingCF
DETvsPHI· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB

Best MLB Walks Matchups — Friday, July 10, 2026

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) is the top walks matchup on the Friday, July 10, 2026 board at 88, with Iván Herrera (STL) and Juan Soto (NYM) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk — plate discipline and how freely the pitcher and bullpen issue walks, plus lineup spot. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top walks spot: Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) tops the board at 88, facing RHP Cal Quantrill. The lefty is working counts at .177 BB/PA against righties this year — and .091 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a walk in about 16% of his trips. And Cal Quantrill has been around league average against righties lately — .091 walks per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .100 in 10 career PA against Cal Quantrill, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Iván Herrera (STL) (82) vs LHP Chris Sale: an elite bat at .155 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.059), due to bounce back.
Juan Soto (NYM) (79) vs RHP Sonny Gray: an elite bat at .170 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.000).
Jordan Walker (STL) (74) vs LHP Chris Sale: a strong bat at .102 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.059).
Bryce Eldridge (SF) (71) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: an excellent bat at .125 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.029), hitter's park.
Matt Olson (ATL) (71) vs RHP Kyle Leahy: a strong bat at .112 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.227).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) (70) vs LHP JP Sears: an excellent bat at .133 into an arm around league average against the same side (.094), hitter's park.
Rafael Devers (SF) (68) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a strong bat at .108 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.029), hitter's park.

Platoon edges to target

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .177 against righties this year.
Iván Herrera (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .198 against lefties this year.
Juan Soto (NYM) — lefty bat vs RHP, .193 against righties this year.
Jordan Walker (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .120 against lefties this year.
Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .139 against righties this year.

Where walks come easiest today

Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Bryce Eldridge (SF) at 71.
Petco Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) at 70.
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Corbin Carroll (AZ) at 61.

How it played out

5 of the top 10 walks matchups landed at least one walk. Top play Yordan Alvarez finished with 0 walks. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these walks matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best walks matchup today (Friday, July 10, 2026)?: Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — top of the board at 88, facing RHP Cal Quantrill. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Friday, July 10, 2026)?: The top walks matchups on Friday, July 10, 2026: Yordan Alvarez (88), Iván Herrera (82), Juan Soto (79), Jordan Walker (74), Bryce Eldridge (71). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.
Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Friday, July 10, 2026?: No — Yordan Alvarez didn't record a walk.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .177 against righties this year. Iván Herrera (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .198 against lefties this year. Juan Soto (NYM) — lefty bat vs RHP, .193 against righties this year. Jordan Walker (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .120 against lefties this year. Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .139 against righties this year.
Which parks favor walks today?: Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Bryce Eldridge (SF) at 71. Petco Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) at 70. UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% walk park). Top bat there: Corbin Carroll (AZ) at 61.
How is the walks matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does BB/PA mean?: Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for walks props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the walks board is

The Walks board projects the chance a hitter draws a walk. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His plate discipline.
The pitcher's control.
The count leverage in the matchup.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

An over-only market with heavy juice; our overs grade anti-predictive and lose to the vig. No edge — transparency board.

How to use it

Spot the patient-hitter-vs-wild-arm setups; not a bettable edge.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays